Real Estate Investing in Erwin, North Carolina (28339)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Harnett County • Population: 6,842 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 28339 (Erwin, NC)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (66/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.2% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Erwin, NC (28339)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $198,556
Avg Monthly Rent $846
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $48,958
% Renters 27.5%

Market Analysis: 28339 Erwin

This part of Harnett County is not an easy win. The 28339 ZIP posts softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The investment case in 28339 is significant only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $199K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Regionally, 28339 sits on the difficult end of the NC spectrum. The a solid fit for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Who lives in 28339 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The right play in 28339 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Erwin:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.1× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $846/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Fayetteville, NC Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
53 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Fayetteville, NC metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 28339

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+9.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$69,577/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $142,141 $940 4.8% +9.2% $71,070
3BR $208,732 $1,320 4.6% +8.7% $69,577
4BR $285,605 $1,580 4.0% +9.3% $71,401

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$217K$187K$156K$125K$95K$64KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 28339 Compare?

Metric 28339 Erwin Fayetteville, NC North Carolina
Home Value $198,556 $198,556 N/A $330,565
5-Year CAGR 5.6% 5.6% N/A 7.8%
Avg Rent $846 $846 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.3% 3.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 28339? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 28339 (Erwin, NC). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.6%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Fayetteville, NC metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
42%
Days Pending
1/2
53 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $198,556
Monthly Rent $846
Price-to-Rent 19.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.1%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 8.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
10.2%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 28339

Population: 6,842

💰 Median Household Income
$48,958
This area
$48,958
State
$63,256
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
27.5%
This area
27.5%
State
27.8%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.1%
This area
2.1%
State
-19.3%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
10.5%
This area
10.5%
State
0.5%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.4 years
This area
43.4 years
State
6.5 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
10.2%
This area
10.2%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 63.5%
Black/African American 25.8%
Other/Mixed 10.0%
Hispanic/Latino 7.1%
Asian 0.6%
👶 Under 18
20.5%
This area
20.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
20.6%
This area
20.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.1%
This area
9.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 28339

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
16.0:1 Avg Class Size
$11,473 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Erwin Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
590 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$11,473 Per Student
B Good

Triton High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,306 Students
👨‍🏫
18.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,473 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C
Heritage Bible College
33 students · 3.2 mi
C
Campbell University
5,115 students · 6.6 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Erwin, NC a good market for FHA house hackers?

Erwin, NC offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $846/mo rent level.

Is rental property easy to operate in Erwin, NC?

The landlord environment in Erwin, NC is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

Is Erwin, NC a good place for real estate investing?

Erwin, NC sits at an investability rating of 3.0/5, with median home values near $199K and average rents around $846/mo. That combination puts it in the robust tier for investor interest.

What are rental rates like in Erwin, NC?

Rental rates in Erwin, NC average $846/mo. Tenant demand and $199K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

What kind of tenants rent in Erwin, NC?

Tenant quality in Erwin, NC ranks as solid. Landlords generally report stable occupancy at market rents of $846/mo.

You know 28339 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 28339 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 28339 ranks in Fayetteville, NC

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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