Real Estate Investing in Piney River, Virginia (22964)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Nelson County • Population: 206 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22964 (Piney River, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (75/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 18.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Piney River, VA (22964)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $209,873
Avg Monthly Rent $1,404
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $115,281
% Renters 25.2%

Market Analysis: 22964 Piney River

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Piney River's 22964 ZIP registers signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $210K pricing implies.

For an experienced owner, 22964 can be a worth a close look for hunting ground — but the discount at $210K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

On balance, 22964 offers a low basis, the region around Piney River has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Employment concentration in 22964 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Strategy in 22964 is an operator game, not a passive one. From a cash-flow lens, entry prices of $210K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Piney River:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 77/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 1.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,404/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Charlottesville, VA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
58 days
Average time to sell
Average
8.7%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Charlottesville, VA metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$224K$197K$170K$142K$115K$88KDec 2008Oct 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22964 Compare?

Metric 22964 Piney River Charlottesville, VA Virginia
Home Value $209,873 $209,873 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 5.0% 5.0% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,404 $1,404 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.2% 5.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 22964? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22964 (Piney River, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+5.0%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Charlottesville, VA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
46%
Days Pending
1/2
58 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $209,873
Monthly Rent $1,404
Price-to-Rent 12.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.0%
Cap Rate 5.2%
5-Year IRR 10.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
18.8%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22964

Population: 206

💰 Median Household Income
$115,281
This area
$115,281
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
25.2%
This area
25.2%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
29.0%
This area
29.0%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
59.1 years
This area
59.1 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
18.8%
This area
18.8%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Black/African American 52.2%
White 47.8%
👶 Under 18
3.9%
This area
3.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
34.6%
This area
34.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Sweet Briar College
464 students · 12.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the typical vacancy rate in Piney River, VA?

Piney River, VA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Piney River, VA?

Rental rates in Piney River, VA average $1,404/mo. Tenant demand and $210K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

What is the renter demographic in Piney River, VA?

Tenant quality in Piney River, VA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report even-keeled occupancy at market rents of $1,404/mo.

Does house hacking work in Piney River, VA?

House hacking works a challenging in Piney River, VA. Rents of $1,404/mo against $210K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

Does Piney River, VA make sense for an investment property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Piney River, VA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $210K and rents of $1,404/mo drive the underlying numbers.

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How 22964 ranks in Charlottesville, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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