Real Estate Investing in Arrington, Virginia (22922)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Nelson County • Population: 2,255 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22922 (Arrington, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (75/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Arrington, VA (22922)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $247,821
Avg Monthly Rent $1,404
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $55,075
% Renters 8.1%

Market Analysis: 22922 Arrington

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Arrington's 22922 ZIP reports signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $248K pricing implies.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 22922 clocks in at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

On the rental side, 22922 offers a low basis, the region around Arrington has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

A significant renter share of 8% in 22922 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Strategy in 22922 is an operator game, not a passive one. Turning to rents, entry prices of $248K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Arrington:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,404/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Charlottesville, VA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
58 days
Average time to sell
Average
8.7%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Charlottesville, VA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 22922

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+8.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$82,262/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $185,433 $1,560 6.1% +7.4% $92,717
3BR $246,786 $1,940 5.7% +8.2% $82,262
4BR $348,860 $2,360 4.9% +8.1% $87,215

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$259K$226K$193K$159K$126K$93KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22922 Compare?

Metric 22922 Arrington Charlottesville, VA Virginia
Home Value $247,821 $247,821 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 6.1% 6.1% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,404 $1,404 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.4% 4.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 22922? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22922 (Arrington, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.1%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Charlottesville, VA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
46%
Days Pending
1/2
58 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $247,821
Monthly Rent $1,404
Price-to-Rent 14.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.8%
Cap Rate 4.4%
5-Year IRR 10.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.1%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.1%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22922

Population: 2,255

💰 Median Household Income
$55,075
This area
$55,075
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
8.1%
This area
8.1%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
27.9%
This area
27.9%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.2 years
This area
41.2 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.1%
This area
6.1%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 66.9%
Black/African American 31.6%
Other/Mixed 1.5%
👶 Under 18
26.5%
This area
26.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.4%
This area
9.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22922

A+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
13.8:1 Avg Class Size
$19,080 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Tye River Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
359 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,080 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Sweet Briar College
464 students · 12.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is vacancy risk in Arrington, VA?

Vacancy risk in Arrington, VA is elevated. That supports steady cash flow for typical rental holds.

What do rentals go for in Arrington, VA?

Average rent in Arrington, VA is approximately $1,404/mo per month. Against $248K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

How strong is the working-renter base in Arrington, VA?

Tenant demand in Arrington, VA is solid. The local workforce $1,404/mo rents across most rental classes.

How strict are landlord regulations in Arrington, VA?

Arrington, VA operates under VA law, which is landlord-friendly overall for landlords. Expect steady treatment in typical lease and eviction cases.

Is housing expensive in Arrington, VA?

Arrington, VA median home values land near $248K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $1,404/mo-per-month rentals.

You know 22922 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 22922 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 22922 ranks in Charlottesville, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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