Real Estate Investing in Conneaut Lake, Pennsylvania (16316)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Crawford County • Population: 4,688 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16316 (Conneaut Lake, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 37.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Conneaut Lake, PA (16316)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $230,047
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,911
% Renters 18.9%

Market Analysis: 16316 Conneaut Lake

ZIP 16316 inside Crawford County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $230K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Rent of $873/mo on a $230K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 16316 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

In the broader PA picture, 16316 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Who lives in 16316 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 16316 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Conneaut Lake:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+13.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Meadville, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
9.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Meadville, PA metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$243K$209K$176K$142K$108K$74KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16316 Compare?

Metric 16316 Conneaut Lake Meadville, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $230,047 $230,047 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 6.7% 6.7% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.0% 3.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16316? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16316 (Conneaut Lake, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.7%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Meadville, PA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
57%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $230,047
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 22.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.6%
Cap Rate 3.0%
5-Year IRR 9.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +13.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
37.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.7%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16316

Population: 4,688

💰 Median Household Income
$64,911
This area
$64,911
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
18.9%
This area
18.9%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
27.1%
This area
27.1%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
49.5 years
This area
49.5 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
37.6%
This area
37.6%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 97.2%
Other/Mixed 2.6%
Hispanic/Latino 1.8%
Asian 0.2%
👶 Under 18
16.4%
This area
16.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.7%
This area
22.7%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16316

A+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
12.3:1 Avg Class Size
$23,150 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Conneaut Lake MS

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
285 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$23,150 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Conneaut Lake-Sadsbury El Sch

📚 K – 04 Elementary
👥
317 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$23,150 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 8 Off-Campus Students
C+
Allegheny College
1,231 students · 8.5 mi
C+
Crawford County Career and Technical Center Practical Nursing Program
25 students · 9.2 mi
C
Thiel College
920 students · 13.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Conneaut Lake, PA?

Expect median prices around $230K in Conneaut Lake, PA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been consistent.

What is the typical renter like in Conneaut Lake, PA?

Conneaut Lake, PA offers a stable renter base at the $873/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Does house hacking make sense in Conneaut Lake, PA?

House hacking in Conneaut Lake, PA is reasonable to execute. Prices around $230K and rents of $873/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

What do landlords charge for rent in Conneaut Lake, PA?

Expect rents around $873/mo per month in Conneaut Lake, PA. With home values at $230K, the yield math works out to reasonable levels for rental investors.

Is Conneaut Lake in PA worth investing in?

Our data puts Conneaut Lake, PA at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $230K and rents around $873/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

You know 16316 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 16316 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 16316 ranks in Meadville, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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