Real Estate Investing in Kersey, Pennsylvania (15846)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Elk County • Population: 3,361 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 15846 (Kersey, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (74/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.4% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Kersey, PA (15846)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $171,987
Avg Monthly Rent $1,224
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $78,458
% Renters 17.2%

Market Analysis: 15846 Kersey

ZIP 15846 inside Elk County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $172K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

The 15846 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Nearby ZIPs in Kersey have seen price recovery that 15846 has not matched. Elk County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

The 15846 ZIP's population of 3,361 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that posts the need for careful underwriting.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 15846 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Kersey:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+16.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,224/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
St. Marys, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
4.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from St. Marys, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 15846

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
8.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+2.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$39,697/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $122,599 $1,360 8.0% +2.4% $61,299
3BR $151,527 $1,790 8.5% +0.9% $50,509
4BR $158,787 $1,800 8.2% +1.4% $39,697

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$183K$167K$151K$136K$120K$104KApr 2012Jun 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 15846 Compare?

Metric 15846 Kersey St. Marys, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $171,987 $171,987 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 3.1% 3.1% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $1,224 $1,224 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.6% 5.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 15846? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 15846 (Kersey, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.1%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on St. Marys, PA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $171,987
Monthly Rent $1,224
Price-to-Rent 11.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.5%
Cap Rate 5.6%
5-Year IRR 8.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +16.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.4%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.1%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 15846

Population: 3,361

💰 Median Household Income
$78,458
This area
$78,458
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.2%
This area
17.2%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.0%
This area
3.0%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.0%
This area
20.0%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
47.4 years
This area
47.4 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.4%
This area
8.4%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.9%
Asian 1.8%
Black/African American 1.3%
👶 Under 18
19.3%
This area
19.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.9%
This area
18.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.3%
This area
1.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 15846

B+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
12.6:1 Avg Class Size
$16,056 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Fox Twp El Sch

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
248 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$16,056 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the rental occupancy rate in Kersey, PA?

Occupancy in Kersey, PA runs steady with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,224/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

What is the typical rental rate in Kersey, PA?

The typical rental in Kersey, PA commands about $1,224/mo monthly. That rent profile reliable cash flow against the $172K purchase basis.

Is Kersey, PA better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

For Kersey, PA, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

What is the tenant pool like in Kersey, PA?

The tenant pool in Kersey, PA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,224/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

Is real estate in Kersey, PA a good investment right now?

Kersey, PA rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $172K and rents near $1,224/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

You know 15846 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 15846 ranks in St. Marys, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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