Real Estate Investing in Mill Run, Pennsylvania (15464)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fayette County • Population: 1,490 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 15464 (Mill Run, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (57/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 17.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Mill Run, PA (15464)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $197,752
Avg Monthly Rent $1,062
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $49,615
% Renters 11.5%

Market Analysis: 15464 Mill Run

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Mill Run's 15464 ZIP reflects signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $198K pricing implies.

The investment case in 15464 is healthy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $198K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Regionally, 15464 sits on the difficult end of the PA spectrum. The a credible choice for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

A resilient renter share of 12% in 15464 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The 15464 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Mill Run:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 61/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,062/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Pittsburgh, PA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
42 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.7%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Pittsburgh, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 15464

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+5.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$68,387/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $155,080 $1,180 5.5% +5.2% $77,540
3BR $205,161 $1,510 5.3% +4.5% $68,387

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$205K$187K$169K$151K$133K$115KJan 2013Oct 2019Jul 2026

📊 How Does 15464 Compare?

Metric 15464 Mill Run Pittsburgh, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $197,752 $197,752 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 2.5% 2.5% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $1,062 $1,062 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.2% 4.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 15464? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 15464 (Mill Run, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+2.5%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Pittsburgh, PA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
48%
Days Pending
1/2
42 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $197,752
Monthly Rent $1,062
Price-to-Rent 15.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.4%
Cap Rate 4.2%
5-Year IRR 6.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
17.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 15464

Population: 1,490

💰 Median Household Income
$49,615
This area
$49,615
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
11.5%
This area
11.5%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
6.8%
This area
6.8%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
16.5%
This area
16.5%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.8 years
This area
46.8 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
17.9%
This area
17.9%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 95.1%
Other/Mixed 3.4%
Black/African American 1.5%
Hispanic/Latino 0.8%
👶 Under 18
16.4%
This area
16.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.5%
This area
17.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
13.9%
This area
13.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 183 Off-Campus Students
C
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Fayette- Eberly
419 students · 11.9 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What price range are homes in Mill Run, PA?

The median home value in Mill Run, PA is roughly $198K. That puts it reasonable relative to the PA statewide average.

How does Mill Run, PA rate as a rental market?

Mill Run, PA rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $198K and rents near $1,062/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

What is the typical renter like in Mill Run, PA?

Mill Run, PA offers a reliable renter base at the $1,062/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Are eviction rules reasonable in Mill Run, PA?

Mill Run, PA falls under PA landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

How strong are rents in Mill Run, PA?

The typical rental in Mill Run, PA commands about $1,062/mo monthly. That rent profile predictable cash flow against the $198K purchase basis.

You know 15464 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 15464 ranks in Pittsburgh, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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