Real Estate Investing in Tillson, New York (12486)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Ulster County • Population: 1,737 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12486 (Tillson, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (73/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Tillson, NY (12486)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $429,485
Avg Monthly Rent $2,142
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $86,556
% Renters 20.2%

Market Analysis: 12486 Tillson

ZIP 12486 in Tillson, NY carries a healthy set of headwinds. Home values near $429K and rents of $2,142/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 12486 posts the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Statewide comparisons place 12486 among NY's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

The demographic picture in 12486 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Tillson averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategy in 12486 is an operator game, not a passive one. Stepping back, entry prices of $429K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Tillson:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 65/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,142/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Kingston, NY Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
55 days
Average time to sell
Average
6.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Kingston, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 12486

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+11.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$119,033/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $348,656 $2,380 4.9% +11.0% $174,328
3BR $404,596 $2,940 5.2% +9.6% $134,865
4BR $476,133 $3,150 4.8% $119,033

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$449K$392K$334K$277K$219K$162KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12486 Compare?

Metric 12486 Tillson Kingston, NY New York
Home Value $429,485 $429,485 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 7.2% 7.2% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,142 $2,142 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.9% 3.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 12486? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12486 (Tillson, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.2%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Kingston, NY metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
43%
Days Pending
1/2
55 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $429,485
Monthly Rent $2,142
Price-to-Rent 16.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.0%
Cap Rate 3.9%
5-Year IRR 11.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.2%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12486

Population: 1,737

💰 Median Household Income
$86,556
This area
$86,556
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
20.2%
This area
20.2%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
28.8%
This area
28.8%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
54.1 years
This area
54.1 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 60.9%
Other/Mixed 30.2%
Hispanic/Latino 28.9%
Black/African American 7.5%
Asian 1.5%
👶 Under 18
16.2%
This area
16.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
39.5%
This area
39.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
2.5%
This area
2.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 2,482 Off-Campus Students
C
Ulster County Community College
3,001 students · 3.6 mi
B
State University of New York at New Paltz
7,420 students · 6.5 mi
C
Culinary Institute of America
3,104 students · 9.0 mi
C+
Marist College
6,452 students · 10.2 mi
C
Dutchess Community College
6,387 students · 11.1 mi
C
Dutchess BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
85 students · 11.9 mi
B+
Vassar College
2,456 students · 13.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,482 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the typical rental rate in Tillson, NY?

Average rent in Tillson, NY is approximately $2,142/mo per month. Against $429K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

What type of investing works in Tillson, NY?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Tillson, NY. The numbers - $429K homes against $2,142/mo rents - support that play.

Is Tillson, NY a good place for real estate investing?

Investors tracking Tillson, NY will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $429K median home values and $2,142/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting even-keeled returns.

Does a duplex house hack pencil in Tillson, NY?

The house hack math a challenging in Tillson, NY. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $2,142/mo rents and $429K home values.

How expensive is real estate in Tillson, NY?

Tillson, NY median home values land near $429K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $2,142/mo-per-month rentals.

You know 12486 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 12486 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 12486 ranks in Kingston, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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