Real Estate Investing in Upper Lake, California (95464)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lake County • Population: 2,417 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95464 (Upper Lake, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (46/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
4 flags
  • High vacancy: 31.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Declining values: -2.8% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 4.1% in the last year.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Upper Lake, CA (95464)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $231,207
Avg Monthly Rent $1,368
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $71,150
% Renters 35.2%

Market Analysis: 95464 Upper Lake

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Upper Lake's 95464 ZIP sits at signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $231K pricing implies.

The investment case in 95464 is resilient only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $231K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Stepping back, 95464 offers a low basis, the region around Upper Lake has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Demographically, 95464 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

The right play in 95464 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Upper Lake:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 48/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
0/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.2× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-4.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,368/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Clearlake, CA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Clearlake, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95464

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+2.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$97,616/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $211,837 $1,520 5.2% +0.1% $105,919
3BR $292,848 $2,110 5.2% +2.2% $97,616

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$313K$266K$218K$170K$123K$75KJan 2007Oct 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95464 Compare?

Metric 95464 Upper Lake Clearlake, CA California
Home Value $231,207 $324,106 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,368 $1,535 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.6% 3.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95464? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 35% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95464 (Upper Lake, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
-2.8%
Declining

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Clearlake, CA metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
65%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $231,207
Monthly Rent $1,368
Price-to-Rent 14.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.1%
Cap Rate 4.6%
5-Year IRR 1.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -4.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR -5.2% ▼
5-Year CAGR -2.8% ▼
10-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
31.1%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
-2.8%
Declining
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95464

Population: 2,417

💰 Median Household Income
$71,150
This area
$71,150
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
35.2%
This area
35.2%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
18.9%
This area
18.9%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.6 years
This area
39.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
31.1%
This area
31.1%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 51.9%
Other/Mixed 43.2%
Hispanic/Latino 22.7%
Asian 3.0%
Black/African American 1.8%
👶 Under 18
24.1%
This area
24.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
22.1%
This area
22.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.6%
This area
7.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Upper Lake, CA make sense for an investment property?

Yes - Upper Lake, CA a 3.0/5 investability score. With $231K home prices against $1,368/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

Are rents high in Upper Lake, CA?

Rental rates in Upper Lake, CA average $1,368/mo. Tenant demand and $231K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

How strong is the working-renter base in Upper Lake, CA?

Tenant quality in Upper Lake, CA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report reliable occupancy at market rents of $1,368/mo.

What does house hacking look like in Upper Lake, CA?

House hacking in Upper Lake, CA is reasonable to execute. Prices around $231K and rents of $1,368/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

What is the best play in Upper Lake, CA?

The best-fit strategy in Upper Lake, CA is careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. That approach the rent and price profile of the market.

You know 95464 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95464 ranks in Clearlake, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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