Real Estate Investing in Stockton, California (95204)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Joaquin County • Population: 31,028 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95204 (Stockton, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (42/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.8% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.4% CAGR).
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Stockton, CA (95204)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $382,621
Avg Monthly Rent $1,853
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $70,063
% Renters 41.6%

Market Analysis: 95204 Stockton

The 95204 ZIP covers a section of Stockton that demands careful diligence. Prices near $383K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

The 95204 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

On the rental side, 95204 offers a low basis, the region around Stockton has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Employment concentration in 95204 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 95204 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Stockton:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,853/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Stockton, CA Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
46 days
Average time to sell
Average
10.1%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Stockton, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95204

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+4.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$108,211/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $281,435 $1,230 3.1% +4.7% $281,435
2BR $339,552 $1,530 3.2% +4.4% $169,776
3BR $391,630 $2,130 3.9% +4.8% $130,543
4BR $452,460 $2,570 4.1% +4.9% $113,115
5BR $541,053 +4.8% $108,211

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$430K$359K$288K$217K$146K$75KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,118$2,047$1,977$1,906$1,836$1,766Jan 2023Oct 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95204 Compare?

Metric 95204 Stockton Stockton, CA California
Home Value $382,621 $386,443 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 1.4% 1.3% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,853 $1,949 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.8% 3.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95204? Click to expand

A healthy rental market with 42% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95204 (Stockton, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving San Joaquin County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Ahrens Property Management is a full-service company managing residential rental properties for owners, including tenant screening, placement, repairs, and accounting in Lodi, CA. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Serviceprop provides construction, maintenance, and janitorial services to customers in Southern California. summary from their website

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Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.4%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Stockton, CA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
44%
Days Pending
1/2
46 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $382,621
Monthly Rent $1,853
Price-to-Rent 17.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.8%
Cap Rate 3.8%
5-Year IRR 5.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -10.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95204

Population: 31,028

💰 Median Household Income
$70,063
This area
$70,063
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
41.6%
This area
41.6%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
19.1%
This area
19.1%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.6 years
This area
35.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.8%
This area
8.8%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 51.0%
Other/Mixed 33.2%
Hispanic/Latino 26.8%
Asian 9.0%
Black/African American 6.8%
👶 Under 18
23.0%
This area
23.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.4%
This area
16.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.3%
This area
9.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95204

B Avg School Grade
7 Schools
23.4:1 Avg Class Size
$19,457 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Primary Years Academy

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
230 Students
👨‍🏫
20.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B Good

Cleveland Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
610 Students
👨‍🏫
22.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B Good

El Dorado Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
548 Students
👨‍🏫
22.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B Good

Hoover Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
674 Students
👨‍🏫
22.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B Good

Madison Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
730 Students
👨‍🏫
25.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B Good

Commodore Stockton Skills

📚 K – 08 School
👥
964 Students
👨‍🏫
24.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
C+ Average

Wilson Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
337 Students
👨‍🏫
26.2:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

Walton Development Center

📚 K – 12 K-12
📍 4131 North Crown Ave., Stockton
👥
102 Students
👨‍🏫
9.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Weber Institute

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 302 West Weber Ave., Stockton
👥
344 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Health Careers Academy

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
📍 931 East Magnolia St., Stockton
👥
404 Students
👨‍🏫
18.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
B+ Above Average

TEAM Charter

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
📍 600 East Main St., Stockton
👥
506 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$18,411 Per Student
B Good

Adams Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
📍 6402 Inglewood Ave., Stockton
👥
512 Students
👨‍🏫
24.7:1 Class Size
💰
$19,457 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 1,658 Off-Campus Students
C+
University of the Pacific
6,755 students · 0.6 mi
C
San Joaquin Delta College
18,226 students · 1.5 mi
D
Xavier College School of Nursing
87 students · 1.5 mi
C
UEI College-Stockton
823 students · 1.7 mi
D
Carrington College-Stockton
429 students · 1.7 mi
C
California College of Barbering and Cosmetology
272 students · 2.3 mi
C
Humphreys University-Stockton and Modesto Campuses
575 students · 2.6 mi
C
Teachers College of San Joaquin
850 students · 6.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,658 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are rental rates like in Stockton, CA?

Rents in Stockton, CA run near $1,853/mo. Compared with median home prices of $383K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

How deep is the rental pool in Stockton, CA?

Working renters make up the core of the Stockton, CA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Is Stockton, CA a good place for real estate investing?

The 2.0/5 investability rating in Stockton, CA reflects its $383K prices and $1,853/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within CA.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Stockton, CA?

Stockton, CA vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Can I house hack in Stockton, CA?

House hacking in Stockton, CA is a challenging. With home values around $383K and rents at $1,853/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

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How 95204 ranks in Stockton, CA

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