Real Estate Investing in Pecos, New Mexico (87538)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Miguel County • Population: 538 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 87538 (Pecos, NM)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (15/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 38.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 27.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Pecos, NM (87538)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $299,839
Avg Monthly Rent $909
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income N/A
% Renters 0.0%

Market Analysis: 87538 Pecos

This part of San Miguel County is not an easy win. The 87538 ZIP posts softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The 87538 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Regionally, 87538 sits on the difficult end of the NM spectrum. The a strong candidate for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Put differently, 538 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategy in 87538 is an operator game, not a passive one. Turning to rents, entry prices of $300K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Pecos:

Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost × the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $909/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Las Vegas, NM Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
4.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Las Vegas, NM metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$304K$291K$278K$265K$252K$239KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 87538 Compare?

Metric 87538 Pecos Las Vegas, NM New Mexico
Home Value $299,839 $313,874 N/A $308,799
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 7.3%
Avg Rent $909 $1,116 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.4% 2.8% - -
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 87538 (Pecos, NM). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.4%
Low

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Las Vegas, NM metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $299,839
Monthly Rent $909
Price-to-Rent 27.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.6%
Cap Rate 2.4%
5-Year IRR 7.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
38.8%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 87538

Population: 538

💰 Median Household Income
N/A
🏠 Renter Occupied
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
21.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-32.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
29.2%
This area
29.2%
State
-18.1%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.1 years
This area
39.1 years
State
-44.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
38.8%
This area
38.8%
State
29.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 52.2%
Hispanic/Latino 47.8%
Other/Mixed 47.8%
👶 Under 18
35.6%
This area
35.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
6.8%
This area
6.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is Pecos, NM for real estate investors?

Pecos, NM scores 2.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $300K and rents near $909/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

Where do rents currently stand in Pecos, NM?

The typical rental in Pecos, NM commands about $909/mo monthly. That rent profile even-keeled cash flow against the $300K purchase basis.

What are home prices like in Pecos, NM?

Median home price in Pecos, NM is near $300K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been reliable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

How landlord-friendly is Pecos, NM?

Landlord-friendliness in Pecos, NM is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Pecos, NM?

Expect elevated vacancy in Pecos, NM. Rents at $909/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

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How 87538 ranks in Las Vegas, NM

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