Real Estate Investing in Tolleson, Arizona (85353)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Maricopa County • Population: 44,995 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85353 (Tolleson, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (65/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Tolleson, AZ (85353)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $394,173
Avg Monthly Rent $1,985
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $82,271
% Renters 29.6%

Market Analysis: 85353 Tolleson

The 85353 ZIP in Tolleson, AZ is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $394K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $394K asset, 85353 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Nearby ZIPs in Tolleson have seen price recovery that 85353 has not matched. Maricopa County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Resident income in 85353 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

The 85353 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Tolleson:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.8× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,985/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85353

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
5.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+8.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$89,986/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $302,372 $1,980 4.7% +7.4% $151,186
3BR $372,312 $2,640 5.1% +8.0% $124,104
4BR $406,491 $2,930 5.2% +7.9% $101,623
5BR $449,929 +8.5% $89,986

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$471K$389K$307K$226K$144K$62KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,109$1,872$1,636$1,399$1,163$926Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85353 Compare?

Metric 85353 Tolleson Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $394,173 $394,173 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.7% 2.7% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,985 $1,985 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.9% 3.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85353? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85353 (Tolleson, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Maricopa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Active Renter Property Management offers rental property management services in Phoenix, Arizona, including a 6-month tenant guarantee. summary from their website

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Arête Realty and Property Management, LLC offers property management services and real estate expertise in Glendale, Avondale, Chandler, Mesa, Gilbert, Sun City, Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, and Peori summary from their website

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Arizona Community Management Services offers a comprehensive suite of services for Association leaders, including board training, financial management, and covenants enforcement, with decades of exper summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.7%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $394,173
Monthly Rent $1,985
Price-to-Rent 16.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.0%
Cap Rate 3.9%
5-Year IRR 6.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -1.8% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85353

Population: 44,995

💰 Median Household Income
$82,271
This area
$82,271
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.6%
This area
29.6%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.4%
This area
2.4%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
11.9%
This area
11.9%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
28.2 years
This area
28.2 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 45.4%
Other/Mixed 45.1%
Hispanic/Latino 41.8%
Black/African American 8.3%
Asian 1.2%
👶 Under 18
32.3%
This area
32.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
7.0%
This area
7.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
10.1%
This area
10.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85353

C+ Avg School Grade
17 Schools
18.8:1 Avg Class Size
$19,782 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Porfirio H. Gonzales Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
709 Students
👨‍🏫
17.4:1 Class Size
💰
$11,680 Per Student
B Good

Tres Rios Elementary School

📚 K – 08 School
👥
630 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,070 Per Student
B Good

Tolleson Virtual Academy

📚 K – 08 School
👥
20 Students
👨‍🏫
10.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,680 Per Student
B Good

Arizona Desert Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
776 Students
👨‍🏫
20.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,680 Per Student
B Good

Dos Rios Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
649 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$10,874 Per Student
B Good

Hurley Ranch Elementary

📚 03 – 08 School
👥
666 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$10,874 Per Student
B Good

Union Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 02 Elementary
👥
348 Students
👨‍🏫
17.4:1 Class Size
💰
$10,874 Per Student
B Good

University High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
400 Students
👨‍🏫
25.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,934 Per Student
B Good

West-MEC - Sierra Linda High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
10 Students
💰
$74,804 Per Student
B Good

West-MEC - Tolleson Union High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
15 Students
💰
$74,804 Per Student
C+ Average

Country Place Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
👥
896 Students
👨‍🏫
18.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,070 Per Student
C+ Average

Fine Arts Academy

📚 K – 08 School
👥
808 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,070 Per Student
C+ Average

Sierra Linda High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,860 Students
👨‍🏫
21.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,934 Per Student
C+ Average

Tolleson Virtual High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$15,934 Per Student
C+ Average

Arts Academy at Estrella Mountain

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
879 Students
💰
$11,644 Per Student
C Below Average

Tolleson Union High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,467 Students
👨‍🏫
24.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,934 Per Student
C Below Average

Academy of Math and Science Avondale

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
1,160 Students
💰
$10,426 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 2,617 Off-Campus Students
C
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc-Motorcycle Mechanics Institute Division
567 students · 2.6 mi
C
Universal Technical Institute of Arizona Inc
1,791 students · 2.6 mi
C
Xtylo Beauty College
93 students · 3.1 mi
C
Aveda Institute Tucson-Avondale
75 students · 3.2 mi
D
Empire Beauty School-Avondale
239 students · 3.2 mi
C
Estrella Mountain Community College
10,069 students · 6.0 mi
C+
Commercial Divers International
47 students · 7.8 mi
C
Western Maricopa Education Center
220 students · 8.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,617 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Tolleson, AZ stack up for property investment?

Yes - Tolleson, AZ a 3.0/5 investability score. With $394K home prices against $1,985/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Tolleson, AZ?

Tolleson, AZ vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Are rents high in Tolleson, AZ?

Rents in Tolleson, AZ run near $1,985/mo. Compared with median home prices of $394K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Which investment style suits Tolleson, AZ?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Tolleson, AZ. With home values at $394K and rents near $1,985/mo, other strategies can work but produce predictable rather than outsized returns.

What is it like being a landlord in Tolleson, AZ?

AZ law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Tolleson inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

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How 85353 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

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