Real Estate Investing in Casa Grande, Arizona (85194)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pinal County • Population: 7,966 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85194 (Casa Grande, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 18.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Casa Grande, AZ (85194)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $361,740
Avg Monthly Rent $2,022
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $69,890
% Renters 10.2%

Market Analysis: 85194 Casa Grande

ZIP 85194 in Casa Grande, AZ carries a impressive set of headwinds. Home values near $362K and rents of $2,022/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 85194 can be a a solid fit for hunting ground — but the discount at $362K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

ZIP 85194's metrics run below Pinal County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Demographically, 85194 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

The right play in 85194 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Casa Grande:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.2× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,022/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85194

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
4.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+6.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$96,850/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $318,742 $1,540 3.5% +5.1% $159,371
3BR $350,724 $2,070 4.2% +5.9% $116,908
4BR $387,400 $2,350 4.4% +6.7% $96,850

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$434K$379K$323K$268K$213K$157KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,074$2,056$2,038$2,021$2,003$1,985Aug 2025Jan 2026Jun 2026

📊 How Does 85194 Compare?

Metric 85194 Casa Grande Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $361,740 $338,850 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 1.9% 1.9% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $2,022 $1,702 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.4% 3.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85194? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85194 (Casa Grande, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+1.9%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $361,740
Monthly Rent $2,022
Price-to-Rent 14.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.7%
Cap Rate 4.4%
5-Year IRR 6.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
18.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.9%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85194

Population: 7,966

💰 Median Household Income
$69,890
This area
$69,890
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
10.2%
This area
10.2%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
26.3%
This area
26.3%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
57.1 years
This area
57.1 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
18.6%
This area
18.6%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 80.1%
Other/Mixed 17.9%
Hispanic/Latino 11.5%
Asian 1.8%
Black/African American 0.2%
👶 Under 18
16.9%
This area
16.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
41.6%
This area
41.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.0%
This area
7.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85194

A+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
9.0:1 Avg Class Size
$29,089 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Mary C O'Brien Elementary School

📚 K – 06 School
👥
122 Students
👨‍🏫
9.0:1 Class Size
💰
$29,089 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 1,349 Off-Campus Students
C+
Turning Point Beauty College
95 students · 4.0 mi
C+
Central Arizona College
5,131 students · 4.5 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,349 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which real estate strategy fits Casa Grande, AZ?

Casa Grande, AZ investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($362K prices, $2,022/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

Is Casa Grande, AZ a good market for FHA house hackers?

The house hack math a challenging in Casa Grande, AZ. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $2,022/mo rents and $362K home values.

What do landlords charge for rent in Casa Grande, AZ?

Investors in Casa Grande, AZ typically see rents near $2,022/mo per month against $362K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

How landlord-friendly is Casa Grande, AZ?

AZ ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Casa Grande generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Are tenants stable in Casa Grande, AZ?

Expect a solid tenant pool in Casa Grande, AZ. The rental market absorbs $2,022/mo rents without meaningful friction.

You know 85194 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 85194 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 85194 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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