Real Estate Investing in San Tan Valley, Arizona (85143)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pinal County • Population: 41,517 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85143 (San Tan Valley, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (51/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 13.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.3% CAGR).

What’s happening in San Tan Valley, AZ (85143)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $377,258
Avg Monthly Rent $2,030
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $85,744
% Renters 21.8%

Market Analysis: 85143 San Tan Valley

Meanwhile, ZIP 85143 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $377K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The investment case in 85143 is notable only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $377K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Regionally, 85143 sits on the difficult end of the AZ spectrum. The a viable market for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

The demographic picture in 85143 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than San Tan Valley averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

looks to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in San Tan Valley:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,030/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85143

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$91,356/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $372,252 $2,140 4.1% +6.2% $186,126
3BR $348,147 $2,850 5.9% +7.3% $116,049
4BR $396,021 $3,170 5.8% +7.1% $99,005
5BR $456,778 +7.5% $91,356

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$480K$400K$321K$241K$161K$81KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,111$1,875$1,638$1,402$1,165$929Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85143 Compare?

Metric 85143 San Tan Valley Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $377,258 $404,926 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 1.3% 1.5% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $2,030 $2,066 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.2% 4.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85143? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85143 (San Tan Valley, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+1.3%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $377,258
Monthly Rent $2,030
Price-to-Rent 15.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.5%
Cap Rate 4.2%
5-Year IRR 5.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.5% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +1.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
13.0%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.3%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85143

Population: 41,517

💰 Median Household Income
$85,744
This area
$85,744
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.8%
This area
21.8%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.4%
This area
20.4%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.3 years
This area
37.3 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
13.0%
This area
13.0%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 78.4%
Other/Mixed 16.8%
Hispanic/Latino 11.2%
Black/African American 3.3%
Asian 1.6%
👶 Under 18
26.2%
This area
26.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
12.4%
This area
12.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.4%
This area
5.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85143

C+ Avg School Grade
9 Schools
16.3:1 Avg Class Size
$20,030 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

CAVIT - Poston Butte High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$92,362 Per Student
B Good

Copper Basin

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
558 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$9,579 Per Student
B Good

Skyline Ranch Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
587 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$9,579 Per Student
B Good

Circle Cross K8 STEM Academy

📚 K – 08 School
👥
742 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$9,579 Per Student
B Good

Walker Butte K-8

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
764 Students
👨‍🏫
17.4:1 Class Size
💰
$9,579 Per Student
C+ Average

Early Childhood Learning Center

📚 Pre-K – K Elementary
👥
156 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$9,579 Per Student
C+ Average

Legacy Traditional-San Tan

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
690 Students
C Below Average

Champion San Tan

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
424 Students
💰
$10,402 Per Student
C Below Average

Poston Butte High School

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
1,423 Students
👨‍🏫
20.4:1 Class Size
💰
$9,579 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

How strict are landlord regulations in San Tan Valley, AZ?

Rental owners in San Tan Valley, AZ deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

Is San Tan Valley, AZ good for house hacking?

The house hack math a challenging in San Tan Valley, AZ. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $2,030/mo rents and $377K home values.

Where do home prices stand in San Tan Valley, AZ?

San Tan Valley, AZ median home values land near $377K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $2,030/mo-per-month rentals.

Is San Tan Valley in AZ worth investing in?

Our data puts San Tan Valley, AZ at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $377K and rents around $2,030/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

How should investors approach San Tan Valley, AZ?

In San Tan Valley, AZ the significant play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $377K prices and $2,030/mo rents suits that approach.

You know 85143 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 85143 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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