Real Estate Investing in Casa Grande, Arizona (85122)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pinal County • Population: 58,328 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85122 (Casa Grande, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 14.1% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Casa Grande, AZ (85122)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $308,237
Avg Monthly Rent $1,707
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $62,944
% Renters 31.8%

Market Analysis: 85122 Casa Grande

This part of Pinal County is not an easy win. The 85122 ZIP clocks in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

For an experienced owner, 85122 can be a a viable market for hunting ground — but the discount at $308K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

ZIP 85122's metrics run below Pinal County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Who lives in 85122 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

The right play in 85122 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Casa Grande:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 63/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,707/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85122

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
5.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+7.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$77,945/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $230,358 $1,530 4.8% +7.0% $115,179
3BR $295,289 $2,070 5.0% +7.3% $98,430
4BR $341,566 $2,350 5.0% +7.2% $85,392
5BR $389,725 +7.0% $77,945

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$378K$318K$258K$198K$138K$78KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,789$1,610$1,432$1,254$1,075$897Feb 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85122 Compare?

Metric 85122 Casa Grande Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $308,237 $338,850 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.2% 1.9% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,707 $1,702 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.3% 3.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85122? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85122 (Casa Grande, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
+2.2%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $308,237
Monthly Rent $1,707
Price-to-Rent 15.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.7%
Cap Rate 4.3%
5-Year IRR 6.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.0% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +2.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.9% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
14.1%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.2%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85122

Population: 58,328

💰 Median Household Income
$62,944
This area
$62,944
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
31.8%
This area
31.8%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.3%
This area
4.3%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
19.0%
This area
19.0%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.8 years
This area
34.8 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
14.1%
This area
14.1%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 63.4%
Other/Mixed 31.1%
Hispanic/Latino 21.2%
Black/African American 3.8%
Asian 1.6%
👶 Under 18
25.4%
This area
25.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.1%
This area
18.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.8%
This area
11.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85122

C+ Avg School Grade
26 Schools
21.6:1 Avg Class Size
$18,930 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

The Grande Innovation

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
828 Students
💰
$27,049 Per Student
B Good

CAVIT - Vista Grande

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
💰
$92,362 Per Student
B Good
👥
149 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
B Good

PACE

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
55 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,308 Per Student
B Good

Cactus Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
750 Students
👨‍🏫
20.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
B Good

Casa Grande Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
672 Students
👨‍🏫
21.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
B Good

CAVIT - Casa Grande Union High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
1 Students
💰
$92,362 Per Student
B Good

Cholla Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
453 Students
👨‍🏫
19.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
B Good

Cottonwood Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
480 Students
👨‍🏫
21.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
B Good

Ironwood School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
501 Students
👨‍🏫
20.9:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
B Good

Mesquite Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
449 Students
👨‍🏫
20.4:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
B Good

Villago Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
754 Students
👨‍🏫
20.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
C+ Average

Path to Potential

📚 04 – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
6 Students
💰
$27,049 Per Student
C+ Average

Desert Willow Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
465 Students
👨‍🏫
22.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
C+ Average

Saguaro Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
485 Students
👨‍🏫
24.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
C+ Average

Casa Grande Union High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,970 Students
👨‍🏫
21.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,308 Per Student
C+ Average

CGESD Online Learning Academy

📚 K – 08 School Limited Data
👥
107 Students
💰
$11,940 Per Student
C Below Average

McCartney Ranch Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
679 Students
👨‍🏫
27.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
C Below Average

Mission Heights Preparatory High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter Limited Data
👥
492 Students
💰
$10,493 Per Student
C Below Average

Palo Verde School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
556 Students
👨‍🏫
26.5:1 Class Size
💰
$11,940 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 1,349 Off-Campus Students
C+
Turning Point Beauty College
95 students · 4.3 mi
C+
Central Arizona College
5,131 students · 6.2 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,349 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How high is vacancy risk in Casa Grande, AZ?

Casa Grande, AZ carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect stable absorption at market rents of $1,707/mo.

Is Casa Grande, AZ good for house hacking?

The house hack math a challenging in Casa Grande, AZ. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,707/mo rents and $308K home values.

What kind of tenants rent in Casa Grande, AZ?

Tenant quality in Casa Grande, AZ ranks as solid. Landlords generally report predictable occupancy at market rents of $1,707/mo.

Is Casa Grande, AZ a friendly market for rental owners?

For rental operators, Casa Grande, AZ rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

How do home values compare in Casa Grande, AZ?

Homes in Casa Grande, AZ typically sell near $308K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which even-keeled long-term demand.

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How 85122 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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