Real Estate Investing in Commerce City, Colorado (80022)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Adams • Population: 59,556 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 80022 (Commerce City, CO)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (1.1% CAGR).

What’s happening in Commerce City, CO (80022)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $473,170
Avg Monthly Rent $2,249
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $90,032
% Renters 26.3%

Market Analysis: 80022 Commerce City

In practical terms, ZIP 80022 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $473K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The 80022 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Nearby ZIPs in Commerce City have seen price recovery that 80022 has not matched. Adams data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Employment concentration in 80022 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. healthy returns are possible in 80022, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Commerce City:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 61/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.3× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,249/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 80022

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+4.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$121,200/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $345,704 $1,930 4.0% +4.2% $172,852
3BR $462,148 $2,520 3.9% +4.4% $154,049
4BR $544,922 $2,820 3.7% +4.6% $136,230
5BR $606,000 +4.8% $121,200

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$557K$471K$384K$298K$211K$125KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,937$2,656$2,376$2,095$1,815$1,534Jan 2018May 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 80022 Compare?

Metric 80022 Commerce City Colorado
Home Value $473,170 $488,262 $535,778
5-Year CAGR 1.1% 1.2% 4.9%
Avg Rent $2,249 $2,403 -
Cap Rate 3.7% 3.8% -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 80022 (Commerce City, CO). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
3.7%
Low
5yr Growth
+1.1%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $473,170
Monthly Rent $2,249
Price-to-Rent 17.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.7%
Cap Rate 3.7%
5-Year IRR 4.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -9.4% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.7% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.7%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.7%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.5%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+1.1%
Flat
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 80022

Population: 59,556

💰 Median Household Income
$90,032
This area
$90,032
State
$79,719
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
26.3%
This area
26.3%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-25.8%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
22.0%
This area
22.0%
State
5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
33.2 years
This area
33.2 years
State
-0.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.5%
This area
4.5%
State
18.7%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 64.6%
Other/Mixed 29.0%
Hispanic/Latino 21.8%
Black/African American 4.2%
Asian 2.2%
👶 Under 18
31.3%
This area
31.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
8.4%
This area
8.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.1%
This area
9.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 80022

B Avg School Grade
22 Schools
19.7:1 Avg Class Size
$14,643 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Alsup Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
449 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
A Very Good

Central Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
367 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
A Very Good

Monaco Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
371 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
A Very Good

Rose Hill Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
323 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Dupont Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
435 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Kearney Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
634 Students
👨‍🏫
17.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Kemp Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
487 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mildred L Sanville Preschool

📚 Grade PK Elementary
👥
43 Students
👨‍🏫
10.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
B Good

Adams City Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
498 Students
👨‍🏫
18.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
B Good

Landmark Academy at Reunion

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
798 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,426 Per Student
B Good

Victory Preparatory Academy High State Charter Sch

📚 09 – 12 High School Charter
👥
144 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$12,972 Per Student
B Good

Otho E Stuart Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
741 Students
👨‍🏫
18.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,426 Per Student
B Good

Reunion Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
736 Students
👨‍🏫
18.4:1 Class Size
💰
$13,426 Per Student
B Good

Second Creek Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
643 Students
👨‍🏫
18.4:1 Class Size
💰
$13,426 Per Student
B Good

Southlawn Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
547 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,426 Per Student
B Good

Turnberry Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
766 Students
👨‍🏫
18.6:1 Class Size
💰
$13,426 Per Student
C+ Average

Adams City High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,586 Students
👨‍🏫
21.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
C+ Average

Community Leadership Academy

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary Charter
👥
315 Students
👨‍🏫
20.0:1 Class Size
💰
$12,972 Per Student
C+ Average

Stars Early Learning Center

📚 Grade PK Elementary
👥
74 Students
👨‍🏫
18.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
C+ Average

Lester R Arnold High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
217 Students
👨‍🏫
23.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,770 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 14,187 Off-Campus Students
C
Lincoln College of Technology-Denver
1,104 students · 7.1 mi
C+
University of Colorado Denver/Anschutz Medical Campus
23,409 students · 8.6 mi
C
Empire Beauty School-Thornton
104 students · 8.9 mi
C
Colorado State University Global
9,507 students · 9.7 mi
C+
Pickens Technical College
1,025 students · 9.7 mi
C+
Community College of Aurora
8,684 students · 10.2 mi
C+
Montessori Education Center of the Rockies
31 students · 10.8 mi
D
Concorde Career College-Aurora
196 students · 10.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 14,187 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How tight is the rental market in Commerce City, CO?

Occupancy in Commerce City, CO runs consistent with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $2,249/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Are renters plentiful in Commerce City, CO?

Tenant demand in Commerce City, CO is solid. The local workforce $2,249/mo rents across most rental classes.

Is real estate in Commerce City, CO a good investment right now?

Commerce City, CO comes in at an investability rating of 2.0/5, with median home values near $473K and average rents around $2,249/mo. That combination puts it in the significant tier for investor interest.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Commerce City, CO?

Rental owners in Commerce City, CO deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

What type of investing works in Commerce City, CO?

For Commerce City, CO, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

You know 80022 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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