Real Estate Investing in Tornillo, Texas (79853)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

El Paso County • Population: 2,964 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 79853 (Tornillo, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (83/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Tornillo, TX (79853)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $183,722
Avg Monthly Rent $1,008
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $62,167
% Renters 8.6%

Market Analysis: 79853 Tornillo

The 79853 ZIP in Tornillo, TX is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $184K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 79853 posts the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Nearby ZIPs in Tornillo have seen price recovery that 79853 has not matched. El Paso County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Demographically, 79853 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

The 79853 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Tornillo:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 74/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+13.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,008/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
El Paso, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
79 days
Average time to sell
Slow
5.3%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from El Paso, TX metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$195K$173K$151K$129K$107K$85KSep 2009Mar 2018Jul 2026

📊 How Does 79853 Compare?

Metric 79853 Tornillo El Paso, TX Texas
Home Value $183,722 $183,722 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 6.0% 6.0% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,008 $1,008 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.3% 4.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 79853? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 79853 (Tornillo, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.3%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.0%
Strong

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on El Paso, TX metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
43%
Days Pending
2/2
79 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $183,722
Monthly Rent $1,008
Price-to-Rent 15.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.6%
Cap Rate 4.3%
5-Year IRR 10.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +13.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.6% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.0%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 79853

Population: 2,964

💰 Median Household Income
$62,167
This area
$62,167
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
8.6%
This area
8.6%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
10.4%
This area
10.4%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.7 years
This area
35.7 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.9%
This area
7.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Other/Mixed 59.9%
Hispanic/Latino 59.5%
White 40.0%
👶 Under 18
20.7%
This area
20.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.2%
This area
17.2%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
13.8%
This area
13.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 79853

A Avg School Grade
3 Schools
12.3:1 Avg Class Size
$19,324 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

TORNILLO H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
283 Students
👨‍🏫
11.5:1 Class Size
💰
$19,324 Per Student
A+ Excellent

TORNILLO INT

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
376 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,324 Per Student
A Very Good

TORNILLO J H

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
103 Students
👨‍🏫
12.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,324 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Tornillo, TX?

Tornillo, TX vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Is TX a landlord-friendly state?

Landlord-friendliness in Tornillo, TX is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

Are tenants stable in Tornillo, TX?

Tornillo, TX draws a consistent base of working renters. Demand at the $1,008/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

How viable is house hacking in Tornillo, TX?

The house hack math a challenging in Tornillo, TX. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $1,008/mo rents and $184K home values.

What are home prices like in Tornillo, TX?

The median home value in Tornillo, TX is roughly $184K. That puts it reasonable relative to the TX statewide average.

You know 79853 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 79853 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 79853 ranks in El Paso, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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