Real Estate Investing in Kyle, Texas (78640)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Hays County • Population: 71,460 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 78640 (Kyle, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (62/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Declining values: -1.4% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.

What’s happening in Kyle, TX (78640)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $298,356
Avg Monthly Rent $1,570
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $83,735
% Renters 29.3%

Market Analysis: 78640 Kyle

This part of Hays County is not an easy win. The 78640 ZIP comes in at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $298K asset, 78640 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Within TX, ZIP 78640 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Hays County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and solid enough to shape underwriting.

Demographically, 78640 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategically, 78640 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Kyle:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 59/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.6× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,570/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
89 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 78640

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
4BR
5.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+4.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$78,063/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $234,399 $1,810 5.6% +3.7% $117,199
3BR $280,836 $2,290 5.9% +4.2% $93,612
4BR $330,521 $2,700 5.9% +4.6% $82,630
5BR $390,316 +4.7% $78,063

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$428K$367K$307K$246K$186K$125KJan 2007Oct 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,867$1,746$1,625$1,504$1,383$1,262Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 78640 Compare?

Metric 78640 Kyle Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX Texas
Home Value $298,356 $298,356 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,570 $1,570 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.1% 4.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 78640? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 78640 (Kyle, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Hays County

Manage rentals here? List your business →
Jenkins Property Management
Dripping Springs, TX

Jenkins Property Management provides property management services. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
-1.4%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $298,356
Monthly Rent $1,570
Price-to-Rent 15.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.3%
Cap Rate 4.1%
5-Year IRR 2.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR -5.4% ▼
5-Year CAGR -1.4% ▼
10-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -7.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR -4.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.9% ▼
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.6%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-1.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 78640

Population: 71,460

💰 Median Household Income
$83,735
This area
$83,735
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.3%
This area
29.3%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.6%
This area
2.6%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
27.4%
This area
27.4%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
33.0 years
This area
33.0 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 63.0%
Other/Mixed 31.7%
Hispanic/Latino 28.1%
Black/African American 4.6%
Asian 0.9%
👶 Under 18
27.8%
This area
27.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
7.1%
This area
7.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.0%
This area
6.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 78640

B+ Avg School Grade
15 Schools
15.8:1 Avg Class Size
$15,026 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

ARMANDO CHAPA MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
672 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
A Very Good

HEMPHILL EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
615 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
A Very Good

LAURA B WALLACE MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
785 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
A Very Good

SCIENCE HALL EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
665 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
A Very Good

SUSIE FUENTES EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
753 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
A Very Good

TOBIAS EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
726 Students
👨‍🏫
14.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
A Very Good

UHLAND EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
797 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
B+ Above Average

KYLE EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
616 Students
👨‍🏫
15.4:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
B+ Above Average

CAMINO REAL EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
904 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
B+ Above Average

D J RED SIMON MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
824 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
B Good

LAURA B NEGLEY EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,016 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
B Good

IDEA KYLE COLLEGE PREPARATORY

📚 06 – 11 High School Charter
👥
630 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,965 Per Student
B Good

LEHMAN H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,099 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,976 Per Student
C+ Average

IDEA KYLE ACADEMY

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
👥
674 Students
👨‍🏫
24.8:1 Class Size
💰
$11,965 Per Student
C+ Average

VALOR KYLE

📚 K – 09 High School Charter
👥
765 Students
👨‍🏫
18.1:1 Class Size
💰
$9,745 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 1,665 Off-Campus Students
C
Total Transformation Institute of Cosmetology
94 students · 9.7 mi
C+
Texas State University
38,722 students · 10.3 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,665 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do home values compare in Kyle, TX?

Typical homes in Kyle, TX go for around $298K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% reliable price movement.

How strong is the working-renter base in Kyle, TX?

The tenant pool in Kyle, TX is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,570/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Kyle, TX?

Kyle, TX falls under TX landlord-tenant law, which is landlord-friendly. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

What approach is best for Kyle, TX real estate?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Kyle, TX best. The market produces even-keeled results for that approach at the $298K price point.

Is Kyle, TX suited for a house hack?

House hacking in Kyle, TX is a challenging. With home values around $298K and rents at $1,570/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

You know 78640 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 78640 ranks in Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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