Real Estate Investing in Dawson, Texas (76639)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Navarro County • Population: 2,005 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 76639 (Dawson, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 20.3% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Lower household income: $39,907 median — tenant affordability is tighter.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Dawson, TX (76639)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $194,465
Avg Monthly Rent $873
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $39,907
% Renters 35.8%

Market Analysis: 76639 Dawson

ZIP 76639 in Dawson, TX carries a substantial set of headwinds. Home values near $194K and rents of $873/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

The 76639 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

The gap between 76639 and stronger Dawson ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

On balance, 2,005 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

New investors are better served looking at Dawson's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 76639. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Dawson:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 56/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.9× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+13.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $873/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Corsicana, TX Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Corsicana, TX metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$207K$179K$151K$123K$95K$67KMar 2009Nov 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 76639 Compare?

Metric 76639 Dawson Corsicana, TX Texas
Home Value $194,465 $194,465 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 5.0% 5.0% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $873 $873 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.5% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 76639? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 36% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 76639 (Dawson, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 76639 (Dawson, TX)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.0%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Corsicana, TX metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
66%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $194,465
Monthly Rent $873
Price-to-Rent 18.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.4%
Cap Rate 3.5%
5-Year IRR 8.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +13.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
20.3%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.0%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 76639

Population: 2,005

💰 Median Household Income
$39,907
This area
$39,907
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
35.8%
This area
35.8%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.7%
This area
2.7%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
13.9%
This area
13.9%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.3 years
This area
41.3 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
20.3%
This area
20.3%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 72.2%
Black/African American 13.8%
Other/Mixed 13.5%
Hispanic/Latino 11.4%
Asian 0.5%
👶 Under 18
24.2%
This area
24.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.3%
This area
19.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.1%
This area
5.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 76639

A+ Avg School Grade
1 Schools
12.9:1 Avg Class Size
$17,800 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

DAWSON PK-12

📚 Pre-K – 12 K-12
👥
581 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$17,800 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are rents high in Dawson, TX?

Average rent in Dawson, TX is approximately $873/mo per month. Against $194K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

What price range are homes in Dawson, TX?

Homes in Dawson, TX typically sell near $194K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which steady long-term demand.

Which real estate strategy fits Dawson, TX?

Dawson, TX investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($194K prices, $873/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

What is the renter demographic in Dawson, TX?

The renter base in Dawson, TX is reasonable for the $873/mo price point. Screening well and pricing to market typically yields consistent tenants.

How does Dawson, TX stack up for property investment?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Dawson, TX reflects its $194K prices and $873/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within TX.

You know 76639 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 76639 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans

How 76639 ranks in Corsicana, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 76639 (Dawson)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 76639 (Dawson, TX).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.