Real Estate Investing in Payne Springs, Texas (75156)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Henderson County • Population: 15,742 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 75156 (Payne Springs, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (43/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 24.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.5% CAGR).

What’s happening in Payne Springs, TX (75156)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $280,270
Avg Monthly Rent $1,479
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $52,464
% Renters 25.7%

Market Analysis: 75156 Payne Springs

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Payne Springs's 75156 ZIP posts signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $280K pricing implies.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $280K asset, 75156 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

The gap between 75156 and stronger Payne Springs ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

The demographic picture in 75156 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Payne Springs averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategy in 75156 is an operator game, not a passive one. Meanwhile, entry prices of $280K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Payne Springs:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 52/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.3× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-2.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,479/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Athens, TX Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Athens, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 75156

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$96,173/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $204,201 $1,030 3.6% +6.7% $102,100
3BR $288,518 $1,300 3.2% +6.6% $96,173
4BR $580,982 $1,690 2.1% +9.5% $145,245
5BR $1,075,439 +9.7% $215,088

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$336K$294K$251K$208K$166K$123KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,568$1,523$1,478$1,433$1,387$1,342Mar 2025Nov 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 75156 Compare?

Metric 75156 Payne Springs Athens, TX Texas
Home Value $280,270 $280,270 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 0.5% 0.5% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,479 $1,479 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.1% 4.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 75156? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 75156 (Payne Springs, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
+0.5%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Athens, TX metro

2/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
71%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $280,270
Monthly Rent $1,479
Price-to-Rent 15.8:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.3%
Cap Rate 4.1%
5-Year IRR 4.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -2.2% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.8% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +2.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
24.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.5%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 75156

Population: 15,742

💰 Median Household Income
$52,464
This area
$52,464
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
25.7%
This area
25.7%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.1%
This area
4.1%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
15.7%
This area
15.7%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
47.8 years
This area
47.8 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
24.4%
This area
24.4%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 91.3%
Other/Mixed 6.3%
Hispanic/Latino 2.4%
Black/African American 1.9%
Asian 0.5%
👶 Under 18
19.0%
This area
19.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.0%
This area
21.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
18.5%
This area
18.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 75156

B Avg School Grade
1 Schools
15.2:1 Avg Class Size
$11,456 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

LAKEVIEW EL

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
470 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,456 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Payne Springs, TX a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Our data puts Payne Springs, TX at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $280K and rents around $1,479/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

Should investors worry about vacancy in Payne Springs, TX?

Vacancy in Payne Springs, TX is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,479/mo.

What type of investing works in Payne Springs, TX?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Payne Springs, TX. With home values at $280K and rents near $1,479/mo, other strategies can work but produce even-keeled rather than outsized returns.

How strong is tenant demand in Payne Springs, TX?

Working renters make up the core of the Payne Springs, TX tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

Where do rents currently stand in Payne Springs, TX?

The typical rental in Payne Springs, TX commands about $1,479/mo monthly. That rent profile stable cash flow against the $280K purchase basis.

You know 75156 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 75156 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 75156 ranks in Athens, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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