Real Estate Investing in Celina, Texas (75009)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Collin County • Population: 30,257 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 75009 (Celina, TX)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (69/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 9.3% in the last year.

What’s happening in Celina, TX (75009)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $527,056
Avg Monthly Rent $1,982
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $153,658
% Renters 9.6%

Market Analysis: 75009 Celina

ZIP 75009 inside Collin County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $527K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

For an experienced owner, 75009 can be a a viable market for hunting ground — but the discount at $527K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

ZIP 75009's metrics run below Collin County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The demographic picture in 75009 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Celina averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

seems to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Celina:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 72/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.4× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-9.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,982/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
63 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 75009

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+9.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$143,633/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $289,220 $2,370 5.9% +8.7% $144,610
3BR $442,291 $2,980 4.9% +8.0% $147,430
4BR $574,531 $3,790 4.7% +8.6% $143,633
5BR $721,006 +9.8% $144,201

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$670K$572K$474K$376K$278K$180KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,181$2,100$2,019$1,938$1,856$1,775Jan 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 75009 Compare?

Metric 75009 Celina Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Texas
Home Value $527,056 $527,056 N/A $297,000
5-Year CAGR 2.8% 2.8% N/A 5.4%
Avg Rent $1,982 $1,982 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 75009? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 75009 (Celina, TX). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Collin County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

North Texas Property Management offers residential property management services for rental properties and single-family homes in Plano, McKinney, and Allen. summary from their website

Single-family
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Park One Properties provides property management services and leasing. summary from their website

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Plano Property Management offers property management services in Plano. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $527,056
Monthly Rent $1,982
Price-to-Rent 22.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.5%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 5.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -9.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR -3.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -1.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.7% ▼
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 75009

Population: 30,257

💰 Median Household Income
$153,658
This area
$153,658
State
$70,593
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
9.6%
This area
9.6%
State
29.5%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
-25.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
49.4%
This area
49.4%
State
-5.8%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.1 years
This area
37.1 years
State
-3.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.9%
This area
2.9%
State
18.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 74.8%
Other/Mixed 14.4%
Hispanic/Latino 7.4%
Black/African American 5.5%
Asian 5.4%
👶 Under 18
29.9%
This area
29.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.3%
This area
13.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.7%
This area
5.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 75009

A Avg School Grade
8 Schools
14.9:1 Avg Class Size
$32,663 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

SAM JOHNSON EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
615 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$20,409 Per Student
A+ Excellent

EARLY CHILDHOOD SCHOOL

📚 Grade PK Elementary
👥
185 Students
👨‍🏫
11.4:1 Class Size
💰
$36,747 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MARCY B LYKINS EL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
809 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$36,747 Per Student
A Very Good

BOBBY RAY & AFTON MARTIN EL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
569 Students
👨‍🏫
15.9:1 Class Size
💰
$36,747 Per Student
A Very Good

O'DELL EL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
801 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$36,747 Per Student
A Very Good

CELINA H S

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,176 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$36,747 Per Student
A Very Good

JERRY & LINDA MOORE MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,036 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$36,747 Per Student
A Very Good

LIGHT FARMS EL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,015 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$20,409 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 8,007 Off-Campus Students
C+
Collin County Community College District
37,772 students · 13.8 mi
C+
Allgood Beauty Institute
20 students · 14.1 mi

Investor Insight: With 8,007 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where do rents currently stand in Celina, TX?

Rents in Celina, TX run near $1,982/mo. Compared with median home prices of $527K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Are homes affordable in Celina, TX?

Homes in Celina, TX typically sell near $527K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which measured long-term demand.

How does Celina, TX stack up for property investment?

Celina, TX rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $527K and rents near $1,982/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

What kind of vacancy should I budget for in Celina, TX?

Vacancy risk in Celina, TX is elevated. That supports reliable cash flow for typical rental holds.

What approach is best for Celina, TX real estate?

In Celina, TX the notable play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $527K prices and $1,982/mo rents suits that approach.

You know 75009 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 75009 ranks in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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