Real Estate Investing in Noel, Missouri (64854)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

McDonald County • Population: 4,867 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 64854 (Noel, MO)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 18.6% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Noel, MO (64854)?

Click any question — our AI will research it live from the web and show you sources.

✨ Live AI + Web Search
Want to ask your own questions? Upgrade to Pro for unlimited custom queries.
3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $194,288
Avg Monthly Rent $810
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $41,354
% Renters 54.4%

Market Analysis: 64854 Noel

Meanwhile, ZIP 64854 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $194K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The 64854 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Regionally, 64854 sits on the difficult end of the MO spectrum. The a credible choice for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

The 64854 ZIP's population of 4,867 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that stands at the need for careful underwriting.

The 64854 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Noel:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $810/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 64854

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.2% cap rate
Best Overall Value
2BR
$62,830/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $125,660 $900 5.2% $62,830
3BR $199,244 $1,250 4.5% $66,415

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$213K$191K$169K$147K$125K$103KFeb 2019Nov 2022Jul 2026

📊 How Does 64854 Compare?

Metric 64854 Noel Missouri
Home Value $194,288 $194,288 $254,657
5-Year CAGR 4.8% 4.8% 7.0%
Avg Rent $810 $810 -
Cap Rate 3.3% 3.3% -
💡 Why Invest in 64854? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

54% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
Open the Market Finder →
Free to search · investor plans from $19/mo

Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 64854 (Noel, MO). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 64854 (Noel, MO)?

~25 seconds · no account needed · your report is anonymous

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $194,288
Monthly Rent $810
Price-to-Rent 20.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.0%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 8.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
18.6%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 64854

Population: 4,867

💰 Median Household Income
$41,354
This area
$41,354
State
$62,768
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
54.4%
This area
54.4%
State
23.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
-8.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
9.9%
This area
9.9%
State
8.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
30.4 years
This area
30.4 years
State
20.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
18.6%
This area
18.6%
State
18.8%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 59.5%
Other/Mixed 33.6%
Hispanic/Latino 18.7%
Black/African American 6.9%
👶 Under 18
32.8%
This area
32.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.3%
This area
11.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
19.7%
This area
19.7%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 64854

B+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
11.0:1 Avg Class Size
$11,685 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

NOEL ELEM.

📚 03 – 08 School
👥
352 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,685 Per Student
B+ Above Average

PINEVILLE ELEM.

📚 03 – 08 School
👥
130 Students
👨‍🏫
9.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,685 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What approach is best for Noel, MO real estate?

For Noel, MO, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Noel, MO?

Expect elevated vacancy in Noel, MO. Rents at $810/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

What is the median home value in Noel, MO?

Noel, MO median home values land near $194K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $810/mo-per-month rentals.

How landlord-friendly is Noel, MO?

MO law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Noel inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Are rents high in Noel, MO?

Rental rates in Noel, MO average $810/mo. Tenant demand and $194K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

You know 64854 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 64854 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

Compare Plans
🤖

AI Market Advisor

Ask questions about investing in 64854 (Noel)

Loading...

Community Ratings

What people who’ve spent time here actually say. Not paid reviews.

Be the first to rate 64854 (Noel, MO).

It takes 30 seconds. No signup. Your rating helps everyone who comes here after you.