Real Estate Investing in Holden, Missouri (64040)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Johnson • Population: 5,968 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 64040 (Holden, MO)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (56/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 26.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Holden, MO (64040)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $291,582
Avg Monthly Rent $927
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,919
% Renters 18.1%

Market Analysis: 64040 Holden

The 64040 ZIP covers a section of Holden that demands careful diligence. Prices near $292K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

From an investor standpoint, the numbers look inviting — $292K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 64040 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Nearby ZIPs in Holden have seen price recovery that 64040 has not matched. Johnson data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

The demographic picture in 64040 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Holden averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. sturdy returns are possible in 64040, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Holden:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 69/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+10.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $927/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 64040

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+9.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$80,489/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $160,977 $1,030 4.6% +6.3% $80,489
3BR $281,736 $1,350 3.5% +9.4% $93,912
4BR $354,916 $1,570 3.2% +8.4% $88,729

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$311K$266K$221K$176K$131K$86KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 64040 Compare?

Metric 64040 Holden Missouri
Home Value $291,582 $291,582 $254,657
5-Year CAGR 6.1% 6.1% 7.0%
Avg Rent $927 $927 -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.5% -
💡 Why Invest in 64040? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 64040 (Holden, MO). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

Do you own or manage rentals in ZIP 64040 (Holden, MO)?

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.1%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $291,582
Monthly Rent $927
Price-to-Rent 26.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.8%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 8.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +10.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.1%
Growing
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 64040

Population: 5,968

💰 Median Household Income
$64,919
This area
$64,919
State
$62,768
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
18.1%
This area
18.1%
State
23.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-8.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
16.8%
This area
16.8%
State
8.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.6 years
This area
41.6 years
State
20.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.8%
This area
12.8%
State
18.8%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.3%
Other/Mixed 7.7%
Hispanic/Latino 4.3%
👶 Under 18
23.5%
This area
23.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.1%
This area
16.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
7.3%
This area
7.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 64040

B+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
13.8:1 Avg Class Size
$11,989 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

HOLDEN ELEM.

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
530 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,989 Per Student
B+ Above Average

HOLDEN HIGH

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
385 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,989 Per Student
B+ Above Average

HOLDEN MIDDLE

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
280 Students
👨‍🏫
12.9:1 Class Size
💰
$11,989 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 447 Off-Campus Students
C+
University of Central Missouri
12,788 students · 13.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Holden, MO better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

For Holden, MO, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

What is the median home value in Holden, MO?

Expect median prices around $292K in Holden, MO. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been even-keeled.

Do landlords face vacancy issues in Holden, MO?

Expect elevated vacancy in Holden, MO. Rents at $927/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Does house hacking work in Holden, MO?

House hacking in Holden, MO is reasonable to execute. Prices around $292K and rents of $927/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

Are rents high in Holden, MO?

Rents in Holden, MO run near $927/mo. Compared with median home prices of $292K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

You know 64040 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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