Real Estate Investing in Ellington, Missouri (63638)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Reynolds County • Population: 2,384 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 63638 (Ellington, MO)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (43/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 30.4% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Higher unemployment: 8.3% unemployment — tenant risk signal.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Ellington, MO (63638)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

0.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $157,058
Avg Monthly Rent $801
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $49,767
% Renters 29.2%

Market Analysis: 63638 Ellington

Investors eyeing 63638 need to respect the fundamentals at play. Home values of $157K come alongside slower price movement and elevated management overhead.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $157K asset, 63638 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Looking more closely, 63638 offers a low basis, the region around Ellington has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Meanwhile, 2,384 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

New investors are better served looking at Ellington's stable or hybrid ZIPs before stepping into 63638. The learning curve here is expensive when the lesson is wrong.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Ellington:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.2× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+9.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $801/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 63638

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.9% cap rate
Best Overall Value
2BR
$46,436/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $92,873 $890 6.9% $46,436
3BR $162,109 $1,070 4.8% $54,036

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$163K$158K$152K$147K$142K$136KFeb 2022May 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 63638 Compare?

Metric 63638 Ellington Missouri
Home Value $157,058 $157,058 $254,657
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A 7.0%
Avg Rent $801 $801 -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 63638 (Ellington, MO). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $157,058
Monthly Rent $801
Price-to-Rent 16.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 7.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +9.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
30.4%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
N/A
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 63638

Population: 2,384

💰 Median Household Income
$49,767
This area
$49,767
State
$62,768
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.2%
This area
29.2%
State
23.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
8.3%
This area
8.3%
State
-8.1%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
13.3%
This area
13.3%
State
8.6%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.7 years
This area
40.7 years
State
20.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
30.4%
This area
30.4%
State
18.8%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 92.1%
Other/Mixed 5.3%
Black/African American 2.5%
Hispanic/Latino 1.5%
👶 Under 18
22.5%
This area
22.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
18.3%
This area
18.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
19.9%
This area
19.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 63638

B+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
10.8:1 Avg Class Size
$11,196 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

ELLINGTON ELEMENTARY

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
201 Students
👨‍🏫
10.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,196 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ELLINGTON HIGH SCHOOL

📚 06 – 12 High School
👥
234 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,196 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What strategy should investors use in Ellington, MO?

Investors usually favor careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management in Ellington, MO. With home values at $157K and rents near $801/mo, other strategies can work but produce even-keeled rather than outsized returns.

Are landlord laws favorable in Ellington, MO?

Rental owners in Ellington, MO deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

How much rent can I charge in Ellington, MO?

Rents in Ellington, MO run near $801/mo. Compared with median home prices of $157K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Is Ellington, MO suited for a house hack?

For house hackers, Ellington, MO is a challenging. The $801/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $157K property.

Should investors consider Ellington, MO?

The 2.0/5 investability rating in Ellington, MO reflects its $157K prices and $801/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within MO.

You know 63638 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 63638 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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