Real Estate Investing in Lakeland, Tennessee (38002)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Shelby County • Population: 43,868 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38002 (Lakeland, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (69/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Lakeland, TN (38002)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $411,779
Avg Monthly Rent $2,025
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $109,364
% Renters 16.3%

Market Analysis: 38002 Lakeland

ZIP 38002 inside Shelby County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $412K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 38002 reports the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

In the broader TN picture, 38002 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The demographic picture in 38002 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Lakeland averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 38002 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Lakeland:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.8× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,025/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38002

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
7.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+6.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$90,706/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $181,412 $1,870 7.4% +6.7% $90,706
3BR $317,213 $2,470 5.6% +6.6% $105,738
4BR $439,926 $2,880 4.7% +5.9% $109,982
5BR $526,982 +6.2% $105,396

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$434K$383K$333K$283K$232K$182KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,251$2,058$1,866$1,674$1,482$1,289Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38002 Compare?

Metric 38002 Lakeland Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $411,779 $411,779 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 3.4% 3.4% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $2,025 $2,025 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.8% 3.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38002? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38002 (Lakeland, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Shelby County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN, and surrounding areas, including Section 8 property management, maintenance, and renovations. summary from their website

Section 8
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Enterprise Property Management offers property management services in Memphis. summary from their website

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Foundation Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.8%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.4%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $411,779
Monthly Rent $2,025
Price-to-Rent 17.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.9%
Cap Rate 3.8%
5-Year IRR 7.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -5.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.4% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
1.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38002

Population: 43,868

💰 Median Household Income
$109,364
This area
$109,364
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
16.3%
This area
16.3%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.9%
This area
1.9%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
45.9%
This area
45.9%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.0 years
This area
41.0 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
1.7%
This area
1.7%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 74.3%
Black/African American 19.2%
Other/Mixed 4.0%
Asian 2.4%
Hispanic/Latino 1.8%
👶 Under 18
27.8%
This area
27.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.8%
This area
14.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38002

B Avg School Grade
8 Schools
15.3:1 Avg Class Size
$12,425 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Barret's Chapel Elementary/Middle

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
311 Students
👨‍🏫
9.6:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Bolton High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
678 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Lakeland Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 04 Elementary
👥
1,034 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$12,571 Per Student
B Good

Arlington Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
898 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$10,918 Per Student
B Good

Lakeland Preparatory School

📚 05 – 10 High School
👥
1,305 Students
👨‍🏫
16.3:1 Class Size
💰
$12,571 Per Student
C+ Average

Donelson Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
852 Students
👨‍🏫
15.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,918 Per Student
C+ Average

Arlington High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,866 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$10,918 Per Student
C+ Average

Arlington Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
976 Students
👨‍🏫
18.1:1 Class Size
💰
$10,918 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 2,387 Off-Campus Students
C+
Gould's Academy
177 students · 7.5 mi
C
Studio 75 Hair Academy
12 students · 11.2 mi
C
Southwest Tennessee Community College
6,980 students · 12.5 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,387 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lakeland, TN good for house hacking?

The house hack math a challenging in Lakeland, TN. Owner-occupant buyers benefit from the $2,025/mo rents and $412K home values.

What kind of market is Lakeland, TN for investors?

Our data puts Lakeland, TN at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $412K and rents around $2,025/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

Is housing expensive in Lakeland, TN?

Lakeland, TN median home values land near $412K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $2,025/mo-per-month rentals.

How strong are rents in Lakeland, TN?

Investors in Lakeland, TN typically see rents near $2,025/mo per month against $412K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Are renters plentiful in Lakeland, TN?

Lakeland, TN draws a predictable base of working renters. Demand at the $2,025/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

You know 38002 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38002 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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