Real Estate Investing in Cordova, Tennessee (38016)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Shelby County • Population: 44,390 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38016 (Cordova, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (68/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Cordova, TN (38016)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $294,872
Avg Monthly Rent $1,585
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $72,749
% Renters 41.6%

Market Analysis: 38016 Cordova

The 38016 ZIP in Cordova, TN is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $295K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

The investment case in 38016 is healthy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $295K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Regionally, 38016 sits on the difficult end of the TN spectrum. The a strong candidate for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

A significant renter share of 42% in 38016 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The 38016 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Cordova:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.1× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,585/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38016

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
6.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$74,823/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $185,947 $1,570 6.1% +6.4% $92,974
3BR $264,668 $2,070 5.6% +6.5% $88,223
4BR $331,320 $2,420 5.3% +5.7% $82,830
5BR $374,113 +5.5% $74,823

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$325K$283K$241K$200K$158K$116KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,765$1,625$1,486$1,346$1,207$1,067Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38016 Compare?

Metric 38016 Cordova Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $294,872 $294,872 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 2.9% 2.9% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,585 $1,585 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.2% 4.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38016? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 42% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38016 (Cordova, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Shelby County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN, and surrounding areas, including Section 8 property management, maintenance, and renovations. summary from their website

Section 8
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Enterprise Property Management offers property management services in Memphis. summary from their website

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Foundation Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
+2.9%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $294,872
Monthly Rent $1,585
Price-to-Rent 15.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.5%
Cap Rate 4.2%
5-Year IRR 7.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.9% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -8.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.8% ▼
5-Year CAGR +0.7% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38016

Population: 44,390

💰 Median Household Income
$72,749
This area
$72,749
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
41.6%
This area
41.6%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
42.6%
This area
42.6%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.2 years
This area
34.2 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.2%
This area
7.2%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
Black/African American 52.5%
White 35.0%
Asian 6.8%
Other/Mixed 5.8%
Hispanic/Latino 3.3%
👶 Under 18
22.6%
This area
22.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.0%
This area
13.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
9.4%
This area
9.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38016

B Avg School Grade
6 Schools
18.4:1 Avg Class Size
$15,292 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Dexter School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
1,490 Students
👨‍🏫
16.5:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Mt. Pisgah Middle/High

📚 06 – 09 High School
👥
522 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Riverwood Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,018 Students
👨‍🏫
17.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Chimneyrock Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
931 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Macon-Hall Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,166 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
C+ Average

Cordova High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,194 Students
👨‍🏫
18.2:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student

Nearby Schools (4 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B+ Above Average

Memphis School of Excellence Elementary Cordova

📚 K – 05 Elementary Charter
📍 8350 Macon RD, Cordova
👥
317 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Cordova Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 750 N Sanga Rd, Cordova
👥
783 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Memphis School of Excellence Cordova

📚 06 – 12 High School Charter
📍 8360 Macon RD, Cordova
👥
362 Students
👨‍🏫
16.8:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B Good

Cordova Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 900 N Sanga Rd, Cordova
👥
666 Students
👨‍🏫
21.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 5,147 Off-Campus Students
C+
Gould's Academy
177 students · 2.7 mi
C
Southwest Tennessee Community College
6,980 students · 6.1 mi
C+
Gould's Academy
164 students · 8.0 mi
D
Concorde Career College-Memphis
420 students · 8.7 mi
C
Empire Beauty School-E Memphis
216 students · 9.1 mi
F
Strayer University-Tennessee
2,920 students · 10.7 mi
C+
University of Memphis
21,736 students · 10.9 mi
D
Paul Mitchell the School-Memphis
189 students · 11.1 mi

Investor Insight: With 5,147 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Cordova, TN?

Cordova, TN home values average about $295K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $1,585/mo in monthly income.

Should investors consider Cordova, TN?

Cordova, TN reports an investability rating of 3.0/5, with median home values near $295K and average rents around $1,585/mo. That combination puts it in the significant tier for investor interest.

Is rental property easy to operate in Cordova, TN?

TN ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Cordova generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

What are rental rates like in Cordova, TN?

Cordova, TN rentals go for roughly $1,585/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $295K acquisition costs.

Are renters plentiful in Cordova, TN?

The tenant pool in Cordova, TN is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,585/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

You know 38016 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38016 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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