Real Estate Investing in Bartlett, Tennessee (38133)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Shelby County • Population: 21,153 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38133 (Bartlett, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (73/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Bartlett, TN (38133)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $275,183
Avg Monthly Rent $1,568
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $74,775
% Renters 29.9%

Market Analysis: 38133 Bartlett

This part of Shelby County is not an easy win. The 38133 ZIP posts softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Stepping back, the numbers look inviting — $275K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 38133 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Nearby ZIPs in Bartlett have seen price recovery that 38133 has not matched. Shelby County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

Resident income in 38133 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

The right play in 38133 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Bartlett:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,568/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38133

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
7.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+7.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$72,353/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $144,706 $1,590 7.9% +7.1% $72,353
3BR $228,923 $2,100 6.6% +6.6% $76,308
4BR $380,465 $2,440 4.6% +6.0% $95,116
5BR $467,250 +6.5% $93,450

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$291K$254K$217K$180K$143K$106KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,721$1,626$1,531$1,436$1,340$1,245Jan 2021Oct 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 38133 Compare?

Metric 38133 Bartlett Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $275,183 $288,094 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 3.7% 3.7% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,568 $1,732 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.5% 4.7% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38133? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38133 (Bartlett, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Shelby County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN, and surrounding areas, including Section 8 property management, maintenance, and renovations. summary from their website

Section 8
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Enterprise Property Management offers property management services in Memphis. summary from their website

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Foundation Property Management offers property management services in Memphis, TN. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.5%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.7%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $275,183
Monthly Rent $1,568
Price-to-Rent 14.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.8%
Cap Rate 4.5%
5-Year IRR 8.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -3.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.2% ▼
5-Year CAGR +1.7% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.7%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38133

Population: 21,153

💰 Median Household Income
$74,775
This area
$74,775
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.9%
This area
29.9%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
32.7%
This area
32.7%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.9 years
This area
35.9 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.7%
This area
2.7%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 58.8%
Black/African American 27.3%
Other/Mixed 8.6%
Hispanic/Latino 6.4%
Asian 5.2%
👶 Under 18
26.6%
This area
26.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
12.8%
This area
12.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.3%
This area
5.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38133

B+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
16.2:1 Avg Class Size
$14,328 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Kate Bond Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
787 Students
👨‍🏫
14.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Appling Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
602 Students
👨‍🏫
14.7:1 Class Size
💰
$13,364 Per Student
B Good

Bon Lin Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
693 Students
👨‍🏫
17.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,364 Per Student
B Good

Kate Bond Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,013 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$15,292 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 5,147 Off-Campus Students
C+
Gould's Academy
177 students · 0.4 mi
C
Southwest Tennessee Community College
6,980 students · 5.4 mi
C+
Gould's Academy
164 students · 8.7 mi
D
Concorde Career College-Memphis
420 students · 8.8 mi
C
Empire Beauty School-E Memphis
216 students · 9.1 mi
C+
University of Memphis
21,736 students · 10.4 mi
D
Paul Mitchell the School-Memphis
189 students · 10.4 mi
C
Studio 75 Hair Academy
12 students · 10.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 5,147 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is the tenant base reliable in Bartlett, TN?

Bartlett, TN draws a measured base of working renters. Demand at the $1,568/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

How strict are landlord regulations in Bartlett, TN?

TN ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Bartlett generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Bartlett, TN?

Vacancy in Bartlett, TN is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $1,568/mo.

How much do tenants pay in Bartlett, TN?

Average rent in Bartlett, TN is approximately $1,568/mo per month. Against $275K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

Are homes affordable in Bartlett, TN?

Homes in Bartlett, TN typically sell near $275K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which measured long-term demand.

You know 38133 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 38133 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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