Real Estate Investing in Covington, Tennessee (38019)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Tipton County • Population: 15,747 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 38019 (Covington, TN)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (75/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Covington, TN (38019)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $210,581
Avg Monthly Rent $1,100
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $57,124
% Renters 37.2%

Market Analysis: 38019 Covington

ZIP 38019 in Covington, TN carries a impressive set of headwinds. Home values near $211K and rents of $1,100/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Turning to rents, the numbers look inviting — $211K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 38019 is substantial and deserves full respect.

On balance, 38019 offers a low basis, the region around Covington has moved on in ways that the ZIP itself has not fully absorbed. The result is a discount with genuine reasons.

Resident income in 38019 sits below the county median. That reality colors rent collection, vacancy, and reinvestment math in ways that outside investors often underestimate.

Strategically, 38019 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Covington:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 73/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,100/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Memphis, TN-MS-AR Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
68 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Memphis, TN-MS-AR metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 38019

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+8.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$67,430/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $134,860 $1,060 5.7% +7.2% $67,430
3BR $214,367 $1,390 4.7% +8.5% $71,456
4BR $282,447 $1,620 4.1% +8.4% $70,612

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$223K$194K$165K$136K$107K$78KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 38019 Compare?

Metric 38019 Covington Memphis, TN-MS-AR Tennessee
Home Value $210,581 $210,581 N/A $327,001
5-Year CAGR 5.9% 5.9% N/A 7.7%
Avg Rent $1,100 $1,100 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.1% 4.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 38019? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 37% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 38019 (Covington, TN). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.1%
Fair
5yr Growth
+5.9%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $210,581
Monthly Rent $1,100
Price-to-Rent 16.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.3%
Cap Rate 4.1%
5-Year IRR 10.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.1%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.1%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 38019

Population: 15,747

💰 Median Household Income
$57,124
This area
$57,124
State
$60,881
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
37.2%
This area
37.2%
State
25.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
-22.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.6%
This area
14.6%
State
-6.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.3 years
This area
37.3 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.2%
This area
7.2%
State
15.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 61.6%
Black/African American 35.0%
Other/Mixed 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 1.2%
👶 Under 18
24.5%
This area
24.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.3%
This area
16.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
14.4%
This area
14.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 38019

B Avg School Grade
6 Schools
13.5:1 Avg Class Size
$11,124 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Austin Peay Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
571 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$11,124 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Covington High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
657 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$11,124 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Crestview Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
586 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$11,124 Per Student
B Good

Charger Academy

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
508 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,124 Per Student
B Good

Crestview Middle School

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
502 Students
👨‍🏫
17.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,124 Per Student
C+ Average
👥
79 Students
👨‍🏫
6.7:1 Class Size
💰
$11,124 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Do rentals sit vacant long in Covington, TN?

Covington, TN vacancy trends elevated. Investors running standard buy-and-hold plays see reasonable downtime between tenants.

Where do rents currently stand in Covington, TN?

Rent in Covington, TN is around $1,100/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $211K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

What is the median home value in Covington, TN?

Covington, TN home values average about $211K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $1,100/mo in monthly income.

How landlord-friendly is Covington, TN?

TN law landlord-friendly for landlords, and Covington inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

What strategy should investors use in Covington, TN?

Most investors in Covington, TN run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

You know 38019 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 38019 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 38019 ranks in Memphis, TN-MS-AR

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable → 1% Rule →
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