Real Estate Investing in Zephyrhills, Florida (33540)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pasco County • Population: 11,098 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 33540 (Zephyrhills, FL)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (52/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 15.9% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Zephyrhills, FL (33540)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $330,544
Avg Monthly Rent $2,275
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $46,233
% Renters 17.0%

Market Analysis: 33540 Zephyrhills

Looking more closely, ZIP 33540 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $331K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 33540 sits at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

Statewide comparisons place 33540 among FL's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

The 33540 ZIP's population of 11,098 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that sits at the need for careful underwriting.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 33540 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Zephyrhills:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 59/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 7.1× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-0.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,275/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
71 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 33540

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
2BR
+9.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$87,985/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $217,472 $1,320 4.4% +9.9% $108,736
3BR $318,891 $1,690 3.8% +8.9% $106,297
4BR $351,940 $2,050 4.2% +7.5% $87,985

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$366K$309K$253K$196K$139K$83KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 33540 Compare?

Metric 33540 Zephyrhills Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Florida
Home Value $330,544 $299,764 N/A $374,697
5-Year CAGR 4.5% 4.7% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $2,275 $1,892 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.4% 5.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 33540? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 33540 (Zephyrhills, FL). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Pasco County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Dennis Property Management offers rental agency and management services in the Tampa Bay area, including multi-family management, investor packages, and resources for homeowners and tenants. summary from their website

Small multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Jerome Property Management LLC offers property management services. summary from their website

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Paragon Property Services, LLC offers full-service home inspection services in Central Florida, including Lake, Sumter, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, Polk, Pasco, Hernando, Hillsborough, Volusia, and Cit summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.4%
Fair
5yr Growth
+4.5%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $330,544
Monthly Rent $2,275
Price-to-Rent 12.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 8.3%
Cap Rate 5.4%
5-Year IRR 9.9%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -0.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
15.9%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 33540

Population: 11,098

💰 Median Household Income
$46,233
This area
$46,233
State
$70,737
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
17.0%
This area
17.0%
State
29.9%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.0%
This area
3.0%
State
-18.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
14.5%
This area
14.5%
State
4.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
56.3 years
This area
56.3 years
State
16.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
15.9%
This area
15.9%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.7%
Other/Mixed 6.4%
Hispanic/Latino 4.6%
Black/African American 4.3%
Asian 0.5%
👶 Under 18
13.9%
This area
13.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
36.3%
This area
36.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
14.3%
This area
14.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 33540

Nearby Schools (4 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B Good

WEST ZEPHYRHILLS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 37900 14TH AVE, ZEPHYRHILLS
👥
621 Students
👨‍🏫
15.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
B Good

WOODLAND ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 38203 HENRY DR, ZEPHYRHILLS
👥
794 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

RAYMOND B. STEWART MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 38505 10TH AVE, ZEPHYRHILLS
👥
965 Students
👨‍🏫
18.6:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

ZEPHYRHILLS HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
📍 6335 12TH ST, ZEPHYRHILLS
👥
1,740 Students
👨‍🏫
21.5:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby
C
Saint Leo University
10,231 students · 10.5 mi
C
Empire Beauty School-Lakeland
132 students · 13.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How do home values compare in Zephyrhills, FL?

Homes in Zephyrhills, FL typically sell near $331K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which steady long-term demand.

Are there empty rentals in Zephyrhills, FL?

Zephyrhills, FL sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader FL rental market.

What kind of tenants rent in Zephyrhills, FL?

Zephyrhills, FL offers a predictable renter base at the $2,275/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

How much is rent in Zephyrhills, FL?

Rents in Zephyrhills, FL run near $2,275/mo. Compared with median home prices of $331K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Does Zephyrhills, FL favor landlords or tenants?

Rental owners in Zephyrhills, FL deal with a landlord-friendly legal framework. Most standard eviction processes run on reasonable timelines.

You know 33540 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 33540 ranks in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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