Real Estate Investing in Wesley Chapel, Florida (33545)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Pasco County • Population: 27,536 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 33545 (Wesley Chapel, FL)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (73/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

What’s happening in Wesley Chapel, FL (33545)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $394,333
Avg Monthly Rent $2,270
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $100,031
% Renters 21.5%

Market Analysis: 33545 Wesley Chapel

The 33545 ZIP in Wesley Chapel, FL is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $394K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

For an experienced owner, 33545 can be a worth a close look for hunting ground — but the discount at $394K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Nearby ZIPs in Wesley Chapel have seen price recovery that 33545 has not matched. Pasco County data supports the view that the spread is structural rather than temporary.

A notable renter share of 22% in 33545 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The 33545 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Wesley Chapel:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.9× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-1.9%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,270/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
71 days
Average time to sell
Slow
10.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 33545

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
7.7% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+7.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$104,276/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $330,876 $3,550 7.7% +7.3% $110,292
4BR $417,402 $4,330 7.5% +7.5% $104,350
5BR $521,379 +7.9% $104,276

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$470K$399K$329K$259K$189K$118KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,364$2,133$1,901$1,670$1,438$1,207Jun 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 33545 Compare?

Metric 33545 Wesley Chapel Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Florida
Home Value $394,333 $408,610 N/A $374,697
5-Year CAGR 3.6% 3.7% N/A 7.4%
Avg Rent $2,270 $2,227 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.5% 4.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 33545? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 33545 (Wesley Chapel, FL). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Pasco County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Dennis Property Management offers rental agency and management services in the Tampa Bay area, including multi-family management, investor packages, and resources for homeowners and tenants. summary from their website

Small multifamily
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Jerome Property Management LLC offers property management services. summary from their website

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Paragon Property Services, LLC offers full-service home inspection services in Central Florida, including Lake, Sumter, Seminole, Orange, Osceola, Polk, Pasco, Hernando, Hillsborough, Volusia, and Cit summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.5%
Fair
5yr Growth
+3.6%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $394,333
Monthly Rent $2,270
Price-to-Rent 14.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.9%
Cap Rate 4.5%
5-Year IRR 8.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -1.9% ▼
3-Year CAGR -2.0% ▼
5-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +2.9% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.8%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 33545

Population: 27,536

💰 Median Household Income
$100,031
This area
$100,031
State
$70,737
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.5%
This area
21.5%
State
29.9%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.6%
This area
4.6%
State
-18.0%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
38.0%
This area
38.0%
State
4.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.8 years
This area
35.8 years
State
16.0 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.8%
This area
4.8%
State
17.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 59.2%
Other/Mixed 22.0%
Hispanic/Latino 18.0%
Black/African American 15.7%
Asian 3.2%
👶 Under 18
25.7%
This area
25.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
9.4%
This area
9.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.9%
This area
5.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 33545

C+ Avg School Grade
7 Schools
18.2:1 Avg Class Size
$11,709 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

NEW RIVER ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
808 Students
👨‍🏫
15.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
B Good

WATERGRASS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
939 Students
👨‍🏫
16.1:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
B Good

WESLEY CHAPEL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
806 Students
👨‍🏫
16.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

KIRKLAND RANCH ACADEMY OF INNOVATION

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
697 Students
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

THOMAS E. WEIGHTMAN MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,301 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

INNOVATION PREPARATORY ACADEMY

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
1,169 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
C+ Average

WESLEY CHAPEL HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,886 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,709 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby
C
Saint Leo University
10,231 students · 5.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Should investors worry about vacancy in Wesley Chapel, FL?

Wesley Chapel, FL sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader FL rental market.

How do home values compare in Wesley Chapel, FL?

Homes in Wesley Chapel, FL typically sell near $394K. Prices have moved at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, which consistent long-term demand.

What is the average monthly rent in Wesley Chapel, FL?

Rent in Wesley Chapel, FL is around $2,270/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $394K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

What is the best play in Wesley Chapel, FL?

For Wesley Chapel, FL, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

Is Wesley Chapel, FL a smart market for rental property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Wesley Chapel, FL reflects its $394K prices and $2,270/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within FL.

You know 33545 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 33545 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 33545 ranks in Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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