Real Estate Investing in Goochland, Virginia (23153)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Goochland County • Population: 1,303 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 23153 (Goochland, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (64/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 33.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Goochland, VA (23153)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $557,724
Avg Monthly Rent $1,386
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $104,773
% Renters 13.7%

Market Analysis: 23153 Goochland

ZIP 23153 in Goochland, VA carries a robust set of headwinds. Home values near $558K and rents of $1,386/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Rent of $1,386/mo on a $558K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 23153 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Statewide comparisons place 23153 among VA's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

The 23153 ZIP's population of 1,303 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that sits at the need for careful underwriting.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. substantial returns are possible in 23153, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Goochland:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,386/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Richmond, VA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
31 days
Average time to sell
Average
11.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Richmond, VA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 23153

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.4% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$146,673/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $440,019 $1,950 3.2% +6.4% $146,673
4BR $615,482 $2,410 2.8% +5.9% $153,870

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$581K$513K$444K$376K$307K$238KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 23153 Compare?

Metric 23153 Goochland Richmond, VA Virginia
Home Value $557,724 $487,348 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 5.5% 5.0% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,386 $1,386 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.9% 2.3% - -
💡 Why Invest in 23153? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 23153 (Goochland, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
1.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Richmond, VA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
29%
Days Pending
0/2
31 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $557,724
Monthly Rent $1,386
Price-to-Rent 33.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.0%
Cap Rate 1.9%
5-Year IRR 7.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.3%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 23153

Population: 1,303

💰 Median Household Income
$104,773
This area
$104,773
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
13.7%
This area
13.7%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
29.4%
This area
29.4%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.6 years
This area
43.6 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.3%
This area
3.3%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 73.7%
Black/African American 26.3%
👶 Under 18
32.4%
This area
32.4%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
11.3%
This area
11.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
14.2%
This area
14.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of tenants rent in Goochland, VA?

Tenant quality in Goochland, VA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report reliable occupancy at market rents of $1,386/mo.

Is Goochland, VA a smart market for rental property?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Goochland, VA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $558K and rents of $1,386/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What price range are homes in Goochland, VA?

The median home value in Goochland, VA is roughly $558K. That puts it reasonable relative to the VA statewide average.

Is Goochland, VA landlord-friendly?

VA ranks as a landlord-friendly state for landlord-tenant law. Goochland generally follows the statewide framework, so landlords face reasonable operating rules.

Can I house hack in Goochland, VA?

Goochland, VA offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,386/mo rent level.

You know 23153 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 23153 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 23153 ranks in Richmond, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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