Real Estate Investing in Crozier, Virginia (23039)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Goochland County • Population: 1,101 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 23039 (Crozier, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (49/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 12.7% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 32.5 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Crozier, VA (23039)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $540,017
Avg Monthly Rent $1,386
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $160,333
% Renters 0.0%

Market Analysis: 23039 Crozier

Stepping back, ZIP 23039 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $540K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

The investment case in 23039 is robust only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $540K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

In the broader VA picture, 23039 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

The demographic picture in 23039 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Crozier averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

appears to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Crozier:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 68/100
Affordability
20/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.4× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+2.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,386/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Richmond, VA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
31 days
Average time to sell
Average
11.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Richmond, VA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 23039

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+6.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$150,425/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $451,274 $1,950 3.1% +5.9% $150,425
4BR $735,938 $2,410 2.4% +6.9% $183,984

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$567K$508K$449K$390K$331K$272KJan 2009Oct 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 23039 Compare?

Metric 23039 Crozier Richmond, VA Virginia
Home Value $540,017 $540,017 N/A $403,170
5-Year CAGR 3.6% 3.6% N/A 6.4%
Avg Rent $1,386 $1,386 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.0% 2.0% - -
💡 Why Invest in 23039? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 23039 (Crozier, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.6%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Richmond, VA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
29%
Days Pending
0/2
31 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $540,017
Monthly Rent $1,386
Price-to-Rent 32.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.1%
Cap Rate 2.0%
5-Year IRR 5.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +2.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.6% ▲
10-Year CAGR +4.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
12.7%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.6%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 23039

Population: 1,101

💰 Median Household Income
$160,333
This area
$160,333
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
0.0%
This area
0.0%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.7%
This area
0.7%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
47.3%
This area
47.3%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
52.6 years
This area
52.6 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
12.7%
This area
12.7%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 72.6%
Black/African American 22.4%
Other/Mixed 4.9%
Hispanic/Latino 3.0%
👶 Under 18
13.5%
This area
13.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
17.8%
This area
17.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 23039

A Avg School Grade
1 Schools
14.3:1 Avg Class Size
$15,678 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Randolph Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
457 Students
👨‍🏫
14.3:1 Class Size
💰
$15,678 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby
D
South University-Richmond
417 students · 11.3 mi
C
Lotus Professional College
161 students · 13.2 mi
D
Henrico County-Saint Marys Hospital School of Practical Nursing
79 students · 13.5 mi
D
Empire Beauty School-Richmond
70 students · 14.0 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How expensive is real estate in Crozier, VA?

The median home value in Crozier, VA is roughly $540K. That puts it reasonable relative to the VA statewide average.

What is the renter demographic in Crozier, VA?

Crozier, VA offers a steady renter base at the $1,386/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

Is Crozier, VA a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Investors tracking Crozier, VA will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $540K median home values and $1,386/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting predictable returns.

Is rental property easy to operate in Crozier, VA?

Landlord-friendliness in Crozier, VA is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

How high is vacancy risk in Crozier, VA?

Vacancy risk in Crozier, VA is elevated. That supports consistent cash flow for typical rental holds.

You know 23039 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 23039 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 23039 ranks in Richmond, VA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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