Real Estate Investing in Arlington, Virginia (22302)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Arlington County • Population: 18,277 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22302 (Arlington, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (57/100)

Mixed — values have been flat. OK for long-horizon buyers, less attractive if you may need to sell soon.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Declining values: -0.2% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • 1-year downturn: Values declined 3.1% in the last year.

What’s happening in Arlington, VA (22302)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $431,561
Avg Monthly Rent $2,324
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $120,081
% Renters 43.0%

Market Analysis: 22302 Arlington

In practical terms, ZIP 22302 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $432K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

From an investor standpoint, the numbers look inviting — $432K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 22302 is substantial and deserves full respect.

ZIP 22302's metrics run below Arlington County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Demographically, 22302 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

appears to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Arlington:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 54/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 3.6× the median income
Value Trend
Declining (-3.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,324/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22302

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
4.9% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$208,298/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $302,432 $2,070 4.9% +3.3% $302,432
2BR $416,595 $2,310 4.0% +1.2% $208,298
3BR $748,430 $2,920 2.8% +4.2% $249,477
4BR $1,274,753 $3,430 1.9% +4.8% $318,688
5BR $1,825,196 +5.9% $365,039

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$461K$431K$402K$372K$342K$312KJan 2012May 2019Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,514$2,376$2,238$2,100$1,962$1,825Jun 2019Jan 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22302 Compare?

Metric 22302 Arlington Virginia
Home Value $431,561 $739,441 $403,170
5-Year CAGR N/A 1.5% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,324 $2,997 -
Cap Rate 4.2% 3.1% -
💡 Why Invest in 22302? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 43% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22302 (Arlington, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.2%
Fair
5yr Growth
-0.2%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $431,561
Monthly Rent $2,324
Price-to-Rent 15.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.5%
Cap Rate 4.2%
5-Year IRR 4.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year -3.1% ▼
3-Year CAGR -0.2% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.2% ▼
10-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -3.5% ▼
3-Year CAGR +1.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
6.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.2%
Flat
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22302

Population: 18,277

💰 Median Household Income
$120,081
This area
$120,081
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
43.0%
This area
43.0%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.7%
This area
3.7%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
71.2%
This area
71.2%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
38.5 years
This area
38.5 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
6.7%
This area
6.7%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.8%
Other/Mixed 14.9%
Hispanic/Latino 12.3%
Black/African American 11.7%
Asian 4.5%
👶 Under 18
17.3%
This area
17.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
14.1%
This area
14.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.9%
This area
0.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22302

A Avg School Grade
5 Schools
15.4:1 Avg Class Size
$21,602 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

George Mason Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
336 Students
👨‍🏫
15.0:1 Class Size
💰
$21,602 Per Student
A Very Good

Charles Barrett Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
584 Students
👨‍🏫
16.2:1 Class Size
💰
$21,602 Per Student
A Very Good

Douglas MacArthur Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
640 Students
👨‍🏫
15.6:1 Class Size
💰
$21,602 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Alexandria City High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
4,551 Students
👨‍🏫
14.6:1 Class Size
💰
$21,602 Per Student
B Good

Governor's Health Science Academy at T.C. Williams High

📚 Grade N Elementary Limited Data
💰
$21,602 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Barcroft Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 625 S Wakefield St, Arlington
👥
474 Students
👨‍🏫
10.5:1 Class Size
💰
$27,865 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Campbell Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 737 S. Carlin Springs Rd., Arlington
👥
406 Students
👨‍🏫
10.4:1 Class Size
💰
$27,865 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Carlin Springs Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 5995 South 5th Road, Arlington
👥
547 Students
👨‍🏫
10.7:1 Class Size
💰
$27,865 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Cora Kelly School for Math Science and Technology

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 3600 Commonwealth Ave, Alexandria
👥
309 Students
👨‍🏫
11.7:1 Class Size
💰
$21,602 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Dr. Charles R. Drew Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
📍 3500 South 23rd Street, Arlington
👥
435 Students
👨‍🏫
9.0:1 Class Size
💰
$27,865 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby
C
DeVry University-Virginia
32 students · 2.9 mi
C
CET-Alexandria
23 students · 3.6 mi
D
Aveda Arts & Sciences Institute Lafayette-Arlington
211 students · 3.8 mi
D
Strayer University-Virginia
2,382 students · 4.4 mi
C
University of Management and Technology
1,167 students · 4.8 mi
D
Northern Virginia School of Therapeutic Massage
87 students · 5.2 mi
B
George Washington University
25,568 students · 5.3 mi
B+
Georgetown University
20,392 students · 5.6 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What are rental rates like in Arlington, VA?

Rents in Arlington, VA run near $2,324/mo. Compared with median home prices of $432K that produces solid gross yields for typical rentals.

Which investment style suits Arlington, VA?

Most investors in Arlington, VA run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

Is Arlington, VA a good place for real estate investing?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Arlington, VA reflects its $432K prices and $2,324/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within VA.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Arlington, VA?

Expect elevated vacancy in Arlington, VA. Rents at $2,324/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Does Arlington, VA favor landlords or tenants?

For rental operators, Arlington, VA rates as landlord-friendly. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

You know 22302 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 22302 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

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