Real Estate Investing in Fairfax, Virginia (22031)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Fairfax County • Population: 36,586 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 22031 (Fairfax, VA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (50/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.9 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in Fairfax, VA (22031)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $766,814
Avg Monthly Rent $2,466
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $126,049
% Renters 51.3%

Market Analysis: 22031 Fairfax

On balance, ZIP 22031 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $767K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $767K asset, 22031 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

The gap between 22031 and stronger Fairfax ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Who lives in 22031 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Strategy in 22031 is an operator game, not a passive one. From an investor standpoint, entry prices of $767K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Fairfax:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 55/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.1× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.5%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,466/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
🏠

Property Strategy for 22031

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
6.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+5.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$226,472/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $293,663 $2,440 6.0% +2.6% $293,663
2BR $500,846 $2,720 3.9% +2.3% $250,423
3BR $679,417 $3,430 3.6% +4.3% $226,472
4BR $1,012,291 $4,040 2.9% +5.1% $253,073
5BR $1,181,916 +5.6% $236,383

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$808K$726K$643K$561K$478K$396KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,538$2,383$2,228$2,073$1,918$1,763Jul 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 22031 Compare?

Metric 22031 Fairfax Virginia
Home Value $766,814 $628,557 $403,170
5-Year CAGR 2.8% 3.6% 6.4%
Avg Rent $2,466 $2,737 -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.7% -
💡 Why Invest in 22031? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

51% of households rent in this area, creating consistent tenant demand for landlords.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 22031 (Fairfax, VA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Fairfax County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

CAMP provides HOA community management services for condos and co-ops in VA, MD, and DC. summary from their website

HOA
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Chambers Theory provides residential and commercial property management services in Northern Virginia, DC, and MD, with customized plans and guarantees. summary from their website

Commercial
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HomeRiver Group offers property management, brokerage, rehab and construction, leasing, renewals, and maintenance services for single-family and multi-family homes. summary from their website

Single-familySmall multifamily
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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $766,814
Monthly Rent $2,466
Price-to-Rent 25.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.9%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 5.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.5% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.4% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -0.6% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.0% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.5% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 22031

Population: 36,586

💰 Median Household Income
$126,049
This area
$126,049
State
$80,295
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
51.3%
This area
51.3%
State
25.7%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
State
-18.5%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
72.5%
This area
72.5%
State
4.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.5 years
This area
35.5 years
State
9.9 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.9%
This area
4.9%
State
16.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 52.4%
Asian 29.8%
Other/Mixed 10.3%
Black/African American 7.4%
Hispanic/Latino 6.0%
👶 Under 18
20.3%
This area
20.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
10.9%
This area
10.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.4%
This area
5.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 22031

B+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
14.7:1 Avg Class Size
$19,816 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Fairhill Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
544 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mantua Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
964 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mosaic Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
966 Students
👨‍🏫
16.6:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Woodson High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,473 Students
👨‍🏫
12.4:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
C+ Average

Interagency Alternative Secondary Center

📚 Grade N Elementary Limited Data
💰
$19,816 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A+ Excellent

Cunningham Park Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 1001 Park St SE, Vienna
👥
409 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Archer Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 324 Nutley St NW, Vienna
👥
541 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Marshall Road Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 730 Marshall Rd SW, Vienna
👥
695 Students
👨‍🏫
13.1:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Stenwood Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 2620 Gallows Rd, Vienna
👥
539 Students
👨‍🏫
14.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Vienna Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 128 Center St S, Vienna
👥
377 Students
👨‍🏫
13.3:1 Class Size
💰
$19,816 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 7,954 Off-Campus Students
C
Northern Virginia Community College
53,810 students · 2.2 mi
F
Arizona College of Nursing-Falls Church
284 students · 2.2 mi
B
George Mason University
39,527 students · 3.2 mi
D
Virginia University of Integrative Medicine
403 students · 4.0 mi
C
The Esthetic Institute
107 students · 4.0 mi
C+
University of the Potomac-VA Campus
547 students · 4.0 mi
C
Chamberlain University-Virginia
567 students · 4.1 mi
C+
Washington University of Science and Technology
1,105 students · 4.2 mi

Investor Insight: With 7,954 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are homes affordable in Fairfax, VA?

Expect median prices around $767K in Fairfax, VA. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been measured.

Is Fairfax, VA landlord-friendly?

Landlord-friendliness in Fairfax, VA is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

How strong is the working-renter base in Fairfax, VA?

Tenant quality in Fairfax, VA ranks as solid. Landlords generally report stable occupancy at market rents of $2,466/mo.

Can owner-occupants cash flow in Fairfax, VA?

House hacking in Fairfax, VA is a challenging. With home values around $767K and rents at $2,466/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

What type of investing works in Fairfax, VA?

Most investors in Fairfax, VA run a careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy. It aligns with the 3.0/5 investability profile and the market fundamentals.

You know 22031 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 22031 ranks in Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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