Real Estate Investing in Gaines, Pennsylvania (16921)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Tioga County • Population: 602 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16921 (Gaines, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (60/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 62.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Limited market data — this is a very small market; averages are built from few observations and can swing widely. • Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Gaines, PA (16921)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $201,307
Avg Monthly Rent $936
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $45,417
% Renters 10.3%

Market Analysis: 16921 Gaines

From a cash-flow lens, ZIP 16921 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $201K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 16921 posts the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

In the broader PA picture, 16921 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Employment concentration in 16921 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 16921 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Gaines:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 67/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+12.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $936/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 16921

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
4.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+6.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
3BR
$75,475/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $157,508 $1,040 4.8% +5.8% $78,754
3BR $226,426 $1,340 4.3% +6.8% $75,475

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$208K$188K$168K$147K$127K$106KFeb 2017Nov 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 16921 Compare?

Metric 16921 Gaines Pennsylvania
Home Value $201,307 $201,307 $278,018
5-Year CAGR 6.4% 6.4% 6.3%
Avg Rent $936 $936 -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% -
💡 Why Invest in 16921? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16921 (Gaines, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+6.4%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $201,307
Monthly Rent $936
Price-to-Rent 17.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.6%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 10.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +12.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR N/A

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
62.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.4%
Growing
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16921

Population: 602

💰 Median Household Income
$45,417
This area
$45,417
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
10.3%
This area
10.3%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
1.8%
This area
1.8%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
10.4%
This area
10.4%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
53.7 years
This area
53.7 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
62.0%
This area
62.0%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 99.4%
Other/Mixed 0.6%
👶 Under 18
16.6%
This area
16.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
26.4%
This area
26.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.8%
This area
5.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

Frequently Asked Questions

How do home values compare in Gaines, PA?

In Gaines, PA the median home value sits at $201K. Against the broader PA market, that reads as reasonable for most investors.

Is rental property easy to operate in Gaines, PA?

The landlord environment in Gaines, PA is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

Is the tenant base reliable in Gaines, PA?

Tenant demand in Gaines, PA is solid. The local workforce $936/mo rents across most rental classes.

How strong is Gaines, PA for real estate investors?

Gaines, PA scores 3.0/5 for investability. Home values sit at $201K and rents near $936/mo, which keeps the rent-to-price ratio in reasonable territory for buy-and-hold investors.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Gaines, PA?

Rental rates in Gaines, PA average $936/mo. Tenant demand and $201K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

You know 16921 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 16921 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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