Real Estate Investing in Ellwood City, Pennsylvania (16117)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Lawrence County • Population: 16,013 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 16117 (Ellwood City, PA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (81/100)

Solid choice — stable market with a reasonable entry point and good rental backup if you ever need to move.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A cash-flow market — rent-to-price math works from day one, though value growth is modest. Great for income-focused investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.1% vacancy may signal weakening demand.

What’s happening in Ellwood City, PA (16117)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $159,836
Avg Monthly Rent $1,195
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $63,943
% Renters 21.7%

Market Analysis: 16117 Ellwood City

ZIP 16117 in Ellwood City, PA carries a resilient set of headwinds. Home values near $160K and rents of $1,195/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $160K asset, 16117 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Statewide comparisons place 16117 among PA's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Employment concentration in 16117 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. robust returns are possible in 16117, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Ellwood City:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 75/100
Affordability
25/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Affordable
Homes cost 2.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+8.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,195/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
☀️
WARM MARKET
New Castle, PA Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
6.8%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from New Castle, PA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 16117

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
7.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+7.8% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$37,735/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $79,705 $800 7.2% +7.8% $79,705
2BR $120,685 $1,020 6.1% +7.3% $60,343
3BR $164,330 $1,380 6.0% +6.3% $54,777
4BR $197,258 $1,550 5.7% +6.0% $49,315
5BR $188,677 +6.3% $37,735

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$166K$148K$131K$114K$96K$79KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 16117 Compare?

Metric 16117 Ellwood City New Castle, PA Pennsylvania
Home Value $159,836 $159,836 N/A $278,018
5-Year CAGR 4.5% 4.5% N/A 6.3%
Avg Rent $1,195 $1,195 N/A -
Cap Rate 5.8% 5.8% - -
💡 Why Invest in 16117? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 16117 (Ellwood City, PA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
5.8%
Fair
5yr Growth
+4.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on New Castle, PA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
1/3
53%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $159,836
Monthly Rent $1,195
Price-to-Rent 11.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 9.0%
Cap Rate 5.8%
5-Year IRR 10.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +8.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 5.8%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (5.8%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.1%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
4.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Moderate Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 16117

Population: 16,013

💰 Median Household Income
$63,943
This area
$63,943
State
$73,647
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
21.7%
This area
21.7%
State
23.0%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-7.4%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
21.6%
This area
21.6%
State
12.3%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
48.5 years
This area
48.5 years
State
25.7 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.1%
This area
8.1%
State
14.6%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 96.6%
Other/Mixed 2.2%
Black/African American 1.0%
Hispanic/Latino 0.9%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
16.3%
This area
16.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
23.1%
This area
23.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.8%
This area
5.8%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 16117

A+ Avg School Grade
7 Schools
13.5:1 Avg Class Size
$20,597 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

Perry Lower Intrmd Sch

📚 03 – 04 Elementary
👥
236 Students
👨‍🏫
11.5:1 Class Size
💰
$22,336 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Lincoln JSHS

📚 07 – 12 High School
👥
679 Students
👨‍🏫
12.1:1 Class Size
💰
$22,336 Per Student
A+ Excellent

North Side Primary School

📚 K – 02 Elementary
👥
355 Students
👨‍🏫
12.6:1 Class Size
💰
$22,336 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Hartman Intrmd Sch

📚 05 – 06 School
👥
250 Students
👨‍🏫
13.8:1 Class Size
💰
$22,336 Per Student
A+ Excellent

Riverside HS

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
451 Students
👨‍🏫
13.9:1 Class Size
💰
$18,278 Per Student
A Very Good

Riverside El Sch

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
646 Students
👨‍🏫
15.2:1 Class Size
💰
$18,278 Per Student
A Very Good

Riverside MS

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
322 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$18,278 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

6 Nearby 33 Off-Campus Students
C+
Geneva College
1,258 students · 7.8 mi
C
Beaver Falls Beauty Academy
45 students · 8.9 mi
C
Butler Beauty Academy-New Castle Beauty Academy
30 students · 9.7 mi
D
UPMC Jameson School of Nursing
332 students · 11.7 mi
C
New Castle School of Trades
623 students · 13.4 mi
C
Pennsylvania State University-Penn State Beaver
504 students · 13.7 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

What approach is best for Ellwood City, PA real estate?

In Ellwood City, PA the robust play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $160K prices and $1,195/mo rents suits that approach.

Is Ellwood City, PA a friendly market for rental owners?

The landlord environment in Ellwood City, PA is landlord-friendly. Statewide rules shape most day-to-day operations for rental owners.

What kind of tenants rent in Ellwood City, PA?

The tenant pool in Ellwood City, PA is solid, supported by local employment and population fundamentals. Rents of $1,195/mo are well-absorbed by the market.

Is Ellwood City, PA suited for a house hack?

Ellwood City, PA offers a challenging house-hacking opportunity. Small multifamily or rent-by-the-room plays can pair well with the $1,195/mo rent level.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Ellwood City, PA?

Ellwood City, PA carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect reliable absorption at market rents of $1,195/mo.

You know 16117 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 16117 ranks in New Castle, PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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