Real Estate Investing in Hopewell Junction, New York (12533)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Dutchess County • Population: 26,770 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12533 (Hopewell Junction, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 8.3% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Hopewell Junction, NY (12533)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $598,426
Avg Monthly Rent $2,259
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $131,167
% Renters 8.7%

Market Analysis: 12533 Hopewell Junction

ZIP 12533 in Hopewell Junction, NY carries a solid set of headwinds. Home values near $598K and rents of $2,259/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Rent of $2,259/mo on a $598K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 12533 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

The gap between 12533 and stronger Hopewell Junction ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

On balance, 26,770 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategically, 12533 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Hopewell Junction:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 70/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,259/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
6.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 12533

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
5.0% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+8.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$149,238/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $359,935 $2,510 5.0% +8.0% $179,967
3BR $500,172 $3,120 4.5% +8.1% $166,724
4BR $707,232 $3,370 3.4% +7.7% $176,808
5BR $746,192 +7.5% $149,238

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$622K$554K$485K$417K$348K$280KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12533 Compare?

Metric 12533 Hopewell Junction Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY New York
Home Value $598,426 $598,426 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 5.8% 5.8% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,259 $2,259 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 12533? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12533 (Hopewell Junction, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Dutchess County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

All County Metro offers full-service residential property management in Kissimmee, FL, and surrounding areas, focusing on maximizing rental property revenue. summary from their website

Single-family
Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free
360 Property Management
Poughkeepsie, NY

360 Property Management provides professional property management services for houses and homes in the Hudson Valley. summary from their website

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Asset Property Services, Inc. provides real estate management services in Fishkill, NY. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.8%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $598,426
Monthly Rent $2,259
Price-to-Rent 22.1:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.5%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 8.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
8.3%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12533

Population: 26,770

💰 Median Household Income
$131,167
This area
$131,167
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
8.7%
This area
8.7%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
46.7%
This area
46.7%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.2 years
This area
41.2 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
8.3%
This area
8.3%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 75.0%
Other/Mixed 15.5%
Hispanic/Latino 11.3%
Asian 5.2%
Black/African American 4.2%
👶 Under 18
25.3%
This area
25.3%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.3%
This area
15.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 12533

A Avg School Grade
3 Schools
12.3:1 Avg Class Size
$25,653 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

GAYHEAD SCHOOL

📚 K – 06 School
👥
831 Students
👨‍🏫
14.4:1 Class Size
💰
$25,653 Per Student
A Very Good

JOHN JAY SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,819 Students
👨‍🏫
13.5:1 Class Size
💰
$25,653 Per Student
B+ Above Average

ORCHARD VIEW ALTERNATIVE HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
61 Students
👨‍🏫
8.9:1 Class Size
💰
$25,653 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 1,709 Off-Campus Students
B+
Vassar College
2,456 students · 10.2 mi
C
Mount Saint Mary College
2,246 students · 11.7 mi
C+
Orange Ulster BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
72 students · 11.8 mi
C
Dutchess Community College
6,387 students · 12.8 mi
C
Dutchess BOCES-Practical Nursing Program
85 students · 13.3 mi
C+
Marist College
6,452 students · 13.3 mi
A
United States Military Academy
4,508 students · 14.5 mi
C
Culinary Institute of America
3,104 students · 14.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,709 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home value in Hopewell Junction, NY?

Typical homes in Hopewell Junction, NY go for around $598K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% stable price movement.

What is the typical renter like in Hopewell Junction, NY?

Tenant quality in Hopewell Junction, NY ranks as solid. Landlords generally report predictable occupancy at market rents of $2,259/mo.

What are rental rates like in Hopewell Junction, NY?

Average rent in Hopewell Junction, NY is approximately $2,259/mo per month. Against $598K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

Does house hacking work in Hopewell Junction, NY?

House hacking works a challenging in Hopewell Junction, NY. Rents of $2,259/mo against $598K acquisition make the strategy solid for owner-occupants.

What investment strategy works best in Hopewell Junction, NY?

In Hopewell Junction, NY the impressive play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $598K prices and $2,259/mo rents suits that approach.

You know 12533 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 12533 ranks in Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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