Real Estate Investing in Carmel, New York (10512)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Putnam County • Population: 24,238 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 10512 (Carmel, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
GOOD FIT
Grade B (80/100)

Solid choice — values are growing steadily and the market is stable enough to buy with confidence.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Carmel, NY (10512)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $520,032
Avg Monthly Rent $2,650
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $115,656
% Renters 15.5%

Market Analysis: 10512 Carmel

ZIP 10512 in Carmel, NY carries a durable set of headwinds. Home values near $520K and rents of $2,650/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

Rent of $2,650/mo on a $520K basis reads well until vacancy, delinquency, and capex enter the model. The honest cap rate in 10512 sits below the stated 0.0% once reality is priced in.

Within NY, ZIP 10512 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Putnam County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and notable enough to shape underwriting.

A robust renter share of 16% in 10512 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. notable returns are possible in 10512, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Carmel:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 76/100
Affordability
15/25
Appreciation
25/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+7.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,650/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 10512

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
3BR
+8.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$154,034/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $281,601 $2,280 5.8% +8.4% $281,601
2BR $409,087 $2,510 4.4% +8.3% $204,544
3BR $518,899 $3,130 4.3% +8.6% $172,966
4BR $687,404 $3,400 3.6% +8.0% $171,851
5BR $770,169 +8.1% $154,034

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$541K$480K$418K$357K$296K$234KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

No data available

📊 How Does 10512 Compare?

Metric 10512 Carmel New York
Home Value $520,032 $520,032 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 7.0% 7.0% 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,650 $2,650 -
Cap Rate 4.0% 4.0% -
💡 Why Invest in 10512? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 10512 (Carmel, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.0%
Low
5yr Growth
+7.0%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $520,032
Monthly Rent $2,650
Price-to-Rent 16.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 6.1%
Cap Rate 4.0%
5-Year IRR 11.0%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +7.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +7.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +7.0% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.0%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.0%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+7.0%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 10512

Population: 24,238

💰 Median Household Income
$115,656
This area
$115,656
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
15.5%
This area
15.5%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.5%
This area
2.5%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
42.5%
This area
42.5%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.8 years
This area
44.8 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.0%
This area
7.0%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 79.5%
Other/Mixed 15.2%
Hispanic/Latino 13.4%
Black/African American 3.8%
Asian 1.6%
👶 Under 18
18.5%
This area
18.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
20.1%
This area
20.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 10512

A+ Avg School Grade
4 Schools
11.7:1 Avg Class Size
$35,688 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

KENT ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 04 Elementary
👥
390 Students
👨‍🏫
11.1:1 Class Size
💰
$35,688 Per Student
A+ Excellent

KENT PRIMARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 04 Elementary
👥
368 Students
👨‍🏫
12.2:1 Class Size
💰
$35,688 Per Student
A+ Excellent

GEORGE FISCHER MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 05 – 08 School
👥
1,139 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$35,688 Per Student
A Very Good

CARMEL HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,321 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$35,688 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 223 Off-Campus Students
A
United States Military Academy
4,508 students · 13.4 mi
C+
Western Connecticut State University
4,137 students · 14.2 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

How does Carmel, NY rate as a rental market?

Carmel, NY rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $520K and rents near $2,650/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

Where do rents currently stand in Carmel, NY?

Investors in Carmel, NY typically see rents near $2,650/mo per month against $520K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Do rentals sit vacant long in Carmel, NY?

Expect elevated vacancy in Carmel, NY. Rents at $2,650/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

Is Carmel, NY better for rentals, flips, or BRRRR?

For Carmel, NY, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

What is the median home value in Carmel, NY?

Expect median prices around $520K in Carmel, NY. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been steady.

You know 10512 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 10512 ranks in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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