Real Estate Investing in Gardiner, New York (12525)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Ulster County • Population: 1,710 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 12525 (Gardiner, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (48/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • High vacancy: 39.2% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 26.9 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Gardiner, NY (12525)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $562,548
Avg Monthly Rent $1,746
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $98,281
% Renters 36.1%

Market Analysis: 12525 Gardiner

ZIP 12525 in Gardiner, NY carries a sturdy set of headwinds. Home values near $563K and rents of $1,746/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $563K asset, 12525 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

Within NY, ZIP 12525 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Ulster County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and substantial enough to shape underwriting.

The 12525 ZIP's population of 1,710 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that stands at the need for careful underwriting.

The 12525 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Gardiner:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.7× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+6.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,746/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Kingston, NY Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
55 days
Average time to sell
Average
6.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Kingston, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 12525

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+9.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$163,948/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $410,447 $1,940 3.4% +8.2% $205,224
3BR $540,175 $2,400 3.2% +9.0% $180,058
4BR $655,793 $2,570 2.8% +9.5% $163,948

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$587K$517K$446K$376K$306K$236KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 12525 Compare?

Metric 12525 Gardiner Kingston, NY New York
Home Value $562,548 $562,548 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 5.3% 5.3% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $1,746 $1,746 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.4% 2.4% - -
💡 Why Invest in 12525? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 36% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 12525 (Gardiner, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.3%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Kingston, NY metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
43%
Days Pending
1/2
55 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $562,548
Monthly Rent $1,746
Price-to-Rent 26.9:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.7%
Cap Rate 2.4%
5-Year IRR 7.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +6.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.1% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.3% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
39.2%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.3%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 12525

Population: 1,710

💰 Median Household Income
$98,281
This area
$98,281
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
36.1%
This area
36.1%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.0%
This area
2.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
32.5%
This area
32.5%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
40.3 years
This area
40.3 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
39.2%
This area
39.2%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 70.8%
Other/Mixed 28.2%
Hispanic/Latino 28.1%
Black/African American 1.1%
👶 Under 18
24.8%
This area
24.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.5%
This area
13.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
0.0%
This area
0.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

7 Nearby 2,397 Off-Campus Students
B
State University of New York at New Paltz
7,420 students · 6.4 mi
C
Ulster County Community College
3,001 students · 12.0 mi
C+
Marist College
6,452 students · 12.8 mi
C
Culinary Institute of America
3,104 students · 13.4 mi
C
Mount Saint Mary College
2,246 students · 14.4 mi
C
Dutchess Community College
6,387 students · 14.4 mi
B+
Vassar College
2,456 students · 14.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 2,397 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of market is Gardiner, NY for investors?

With a 3.0/5 investability score, Gardiner, NY ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $563K and rents of $1,746/mo drive the underlying numbers.

What is the average monthly rent in Gardiner, NY?

Average rent in Gardiner, NY is approximately $1,746/mo per month. Against $563K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

What is the tenant pool like in Gardiner, NY?

Gardiner, NY offers a measured renter base at the $1,746/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Gardiner, NY?

Gardiner, NY carries elevated vacancy risk. Expect steady absorption at market rents of $1,746/mo.

How should investors approach Gardiner, NY?

Investors who focus on careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management typically do well in Gardiner, NY. The numbers - $563K homes against $1,746/mo rents - support that play.

You know 12525 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 12525 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 12525 ranks in Kingston, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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