Real Estate Investing in Bay Shore, New York (11706)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Suffolk County • Population: 68,648 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 11706 (Bay Shore, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (58/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.8% vacancy may signal weakening demand.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Bay Shore, NY (11706)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $647,608
Avg Monthly Rent $2,944
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $110,965
% Renters 24.6%

Market Analysis: 11706 Bay Shore

Turning to rents, ZIP 11706 has challenges — vacancy pressure, softer price growth, and tenant stability concerns sit alongside the $648K median. It rewards specialists, not generalists.

Meanwhile, the numbers look inviting — $648K purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 11706 is substantial and deserves full respect.

Statewide comparisons place 11706 among NY's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

Employment concentration in 11706 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. robust returns are possible in 11706, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Bay Shore:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 65/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.8× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.7%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,944/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
🏠

Property Strategy for 11706

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+8.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$143,075/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $546,539 $2,450 3.2% +7.3% $273,269
3BR $605,402 $3,180 3.8% +7.9% $201,801
4BR $658,058 $3,360 3.7% +8.3% $164,515
5BR $715,375 +8.1% $143,075

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$682K$602K$522K$441K$361K$281KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$3,023$2,957$2,891$2,825$2,759$2,693Nov 2024Sep 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 11706 Compare?

Metric 11706 Bay Shore New York
Home Value $647,608 $647,608 $505,608
5-Year CAGR 4.2% 4.2% 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,944 $2,944 -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.6% -
💡 Why Invest in 11706? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 11706 (Bay Shore, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Suffolk County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

CXA Management provides property management services. summary from their website

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Eminent Properties Ltd is a property management company. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+4.2%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $647,608
Monthly Rent $2,944
Price-to-Rent 18.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 7.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.7% ▲
3-Year CAGR +4.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +4.2% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.3% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year 0.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
10.8%
Moderate risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+4.2%
Stable
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 11706

Population: 68,648

💰 Median Household Income
$110,965
This area
$110,965
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
24.6%
This area
24.6%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.0%
This area
3.0%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
27.6%
This area
27.6%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
37.5 years
This area
37.5 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
10.8%
This area
10.8%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 53.6%
Other/Mixed 28.0%
Hispanic/Latino 24.4%
Black/African American 12.2%
Asian 6.2%
👶 Under 18
23.9%
This area
23.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.0%
This area
13.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.4%
This area
6.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 11706

A+ Avg School Grade
12 Schools
10.3:1 Avg Class Size
$28,526 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

BROOK AVENUE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 02 Elementary
👥
388 Students
👨‍🏫
8.3:1 Class Size
💰
$30,143 Per Student
A+ Excellent

FIFTH AVENUE SCHOOL

📚 K – 02 Elementary
👥
359 Students
👨‍🏫
9.4:1 Class Size
💰
$30,143 Per Student
A+ Excellent

GARDINER MANOR SCHOOL

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
714 Students
👨‍🏫
11.5:1 Class Size
💰
$30,143 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MARY G CLARKSON SCHOOL

📚 K – 02 Elementary
👥
492 Students
👨‍🏫
8.8:1 Class Size
💰
$30,143 Per Student
A+ Excellent

SOUTH COUNTRY SCHOOL

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
489 Students
👨‍🏫
9.4:1 Class Size
💰
$30,143 Per Student
A+ Excellent

WEST MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
894 Students
👨‍🏫
10.9:1 Class Size
💰
$25,697 Per Student
A+ Excellent

HEMLOCK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
638 Students
👨‍🏫
13.4:1 Class Size
💰
$25,697 Per Student
A+ Excellent

OAK PARK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
716 Students
👨‍🏫
13.2:1 Class Size
💰
$25,697 Per Student
A+ Excellent

BAY SHORE MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
1,269 Students
👨‍🏫
10.6:1 Class Size
💰
$30,143 Per Student
A+ Excellent

SOUTHWEST ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
955 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$25,697 Per Student
A Very Good

BAY SHORE SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,893 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$30,143 Per Student
B Good

WOODHULL SCHOOL

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
40 Students
👨‍🏫
4.9:1 Class Size
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 166 Off-Campus Students
C
New York Institute of Beauty
241 students · 7.2 mi
C
Access Careers-Islandia
314 students · 7.4 mi
C+
Eastern Suffolk BOCES
31 students · 7.4 mi
C
Eastern Suffolk BOCES
275 students · 8.5 mi
C
Electrical and HVAC/R Training Center
236 students · 8.7 mi
C+
Long Island Beauty School-Hauppauge
119 students · 8.7 mi
C
Five Towns College
723 students · 9.0 mi
C
Island Drafting and Technical Institute
53 students · 9.4 mi

Frequently Asked Questions

Is vacancy a concern in Bay Shore, NY?

Vacancy in Bay Shore, NY is elevated, which keeps landlord downtime on reasonable timelines. Most properties lease within the standard window at $2,944/mo.

Does Bay Shore, NY favor landlords or tenants?

NY law tenant-protective for landlords, and Bay Shore inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Is real estate in Bay Shore, NY a good investment right now?

Bay Shore, NY registers an investability rating of 3.0/5, with median home values near $648K and average rents around $2,944/mo. That combination puts it in the resilient tier for investor interest.

Are tenants stable in Bay Shore, NY?

Tenant demand in Bay Shore, NY is solid. The local workforce $2,944/mo rents across most rental classes.

Where do rents currently stand in Bay Shore, NY?

Bay Shore, NY rentals go for roughly $2,944/mo a month. That puts gross yield in solid territory relative to $648K acquisition costs.

You know 11706 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 11706 ranks in New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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