Real Estate Investing in Middletown, New York (10940)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Orange County • Population: 53,099 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 10940 (Middletown, NY)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (67/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (52/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Middletown, NY (10940)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

4.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $403,572
Avg Monthly Rent $2,364
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $81,158
% Renters 37.3%

Market Analysis: 10940 Middletown

ZIP 10940 inside Orange County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $404K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

Distressed does not mean uninvestable. It means the margin for error is thinner. ZIP 10940 rewards the prepared, punishes the overconfident, and leaves the math unchanged either way.

The gap between 10940 and stronger Middletown ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

Employment concentration in 10940 leans toward sectors with higher volatility. The demographic consequence is income fluctuation that investors need to factor into their pro forma.

Experienced landlords with local relationships tend to find 10940 workable. Turnkey investors from out of state usually find the numbers do not hold up in practice.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Middletown:

B Good
Buy Confidence Score: 71/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.0%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,364/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
6.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 10940

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.6% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+12.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$94,357/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $206,836 $1,600 5.6% +12.1% $206,836
2BR $301,545 $2,050 4.9% +9.6% $150,773
3BR $388,321 $2,600 4.8% +9.1% $129,440
4BR $479,683 $2,790 4.2% +9.4% $119,921
5BR $471,787 +9.3% $94,357

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$422K$369K$317K$264K$212K$159KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,427$2,342$2,257$2,172$2,087$2,002Feb 2023Nov 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 10940 Compare?

Metric 10940 Middletown Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY New York
Home Value $403,572 $432,665 N/A $505,608
5-Year CAGR 6.7% 7.0% N/A 6.6%
Avg Rent $2,364 $2,294 N/A -
Cap Rate 4.6% 4.2% - -
💡 Why Invest in 10940? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 37% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 10940 (Middletown, NY). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
4.6%
Fair
5yr Growth
+6.7%
Strong

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $403,572
Monthly Rent $2,364
Price-to-Rent 14.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 7.0%
Cap Rate 4.6%
5-Year IRR 11.3%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.0% ▲
3-Year CAGR +5.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +6.7% ▲
10-Year CAGR +8.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -0.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR +2.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 4.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (4.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
7.7%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+6.7%
Growing
Eviction process: Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 10940

Population: 53,099

💰 Median Household Income
$81,158
This area
$81,158
State
$86,376
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
37.3%
This area
37.3%
State
26.4%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.9%
This area
3.9%
State
-24.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
23.3%
This area
23.3%
State
4.2%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.3 years
This area
39.3 years
State
7.4 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
7.7%
This area
7.7%
State
19.4%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 47.3%
Other/Mixed 26.5%
Black/African American 22.0%
Hispanic/Latino 21.6%
Asian 4.1%
👶 Under 18
24.0%
This area
24.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.1%
This area
15.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
8.4%
This area
8.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 10940

A+ Avg School Grade
10 Schools
11.3:1 Avg Class Size
$29,038 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A+ Excellent

WILLIAM A CARTER SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
739 Students
👨‍🏫
11.8:1 Class Size
💰
$29,564 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MIDDLETOWN TWIN TOWERS MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
833 Students
👨‍🏫
10.2:1 Class Size
💰
$29,564 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MINISINK VALLEY MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
826 Students
👨‍🏫
11.2:1 Class Size
💰
$28,248 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MONHAGEN MIDDLE SCHOOL

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
803 Students
👨‍🏫
10.3:1 Class Size
💰
$29,564 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MINISINK VALLEY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 02 Elementary
👥
472 Students
👨‍🏫
12.7:1 Class Size
💰
$28,248 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MINISINK VALLEY INTERMEDIATE SCHOOL

📚 03 – 05 Elementary
👥
470 Students
👨‍🏫
12.5:1 Class Size
💰
$28,248 Per Student
A+ Excellent

MAPLE HILL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,086 Students
👨‍🏫
8.8:1 Class Size
💰
$29,564 Per Student
A+ Excellent

PRESIDENTIAL PARK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
1,204 Students
👨‍🏫
9.8:1 Class Size
💰
$29,564 Per Student
A Very Good

MINISINK VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,116 Students
👨‍🏫
12.3:1 Class Size
💰
$28,248 Per Student
B+ Above Average

MIDDLETOWN HIGH SCHOOL

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,551 Students
👨‍🏫
13.2:1 Class Size
💰
$29,564 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

2 Nearby 1,348 Off-Campus Students
C
Orange County Community College
5,372 students · 2.4 mi
C+
Yeshiva of Nitra Rabbinical College
270 students · 13.0 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,348 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Middletown, NY favor landlords or tenants?

For rental operators, Middletown, NY rates as tenant-protective. The regulatory environment standard buy-and-hold operations.

What is the tenant pool like in Middletown, NY?

Middletown, NY draws a measured base of working renters. Demand at the $2,364/mo rent level is reasonable for standard single-family and small multi rentals.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Middletown, NY?

Middletown, NY median home values land near $404K. That is reasonable territory for investors looking at $2,364/mo-per-month rentals.

What does house hacking look like in Middletown, NY?

House hacking in Middletown, NY is reasonable to execute. Prices around $404K and rents of $2,364/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

How should investors approach Middletown, NY?

A careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management strategy Middletown, NY best. The market produces predictable results for that approach at the $404K price point.

You know 10940 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 10940 ranks in Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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