Real Estate Investing in Durham, California (95938)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Butte County • Population: 4,327 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95938 (Durham, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (41/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.9% CAGR).
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 35.0 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Durham, CA (95938)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $615,184
Avg Monthly Rent $1,467
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $98,103
% Renters 29.5%

Market Analysis: 95938 Durham

The 95938 ZIP covers a section of Durham that demands careful diligence. Prices near $615K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

If the plan assumes clean turnover, on-time rent, and low maintenance on a $615K asset, 95938 is the wrong submarket. If the plan prices in friction, the yield can still work.

ZIP 95938's metrics run below Butte County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

The demographic picture in 95938 includes headwinds that any investor should price in. Income distribution skews lower than Durham averages, and tenant stability requires active management.

Strategically, 95938 can be a high-return sleeve of a diversified portfolio — but it should not be the whole portfolio, and it should not be someone's first deal.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Durham:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 45/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.3× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+5.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,467/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Chico, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
47 days
Average time to sell
Average
8.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Chico, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95938

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.2% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+3.1% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$180,570/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $361,140 $1,630 3.2% +0.2% $180,570
3BR $552,779 $2,270 3.0% +2.4% $184,260
4BR $784,083 $2,730 2.5% +3.1% $196,021

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$672K$585K$498K$410K$323K$236KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95938 Compare?

Metric 95938 Durham Chico, CA California
Home Value $615,184 $615,184 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 0.9% 0.9% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,467 $1,467 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.9% 1.9% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95938 (Durham, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Butte County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Blue Oak Property Management is a full-service residential property management company with deep roots in the Chico community, offering high-end and personalized service. summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Entwood Property Management is located at 2525 Ceanothus Ave, Chico, CA. summary from their website

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IPM Property Management offers multi-family and commercial property management services in Chico and Butte County, CA. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+0.9%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Chico, CA metro

1/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
43%
Days Pending
1/2
47 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $615,184
Monthly Rent $1,467
Price-to-Rent 35.0:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.9%
Cap Rate 1.9%
5-Year IRR 2.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +5.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +0.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.2%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.9%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95938

Population: 4,327

💰 Median Household Income
$98,103
This area
$98,103
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
29.5%
This area
29.5%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.1%
This area
4.1%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
40.0%
This area
40.0%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
43.1 years
This area
43.1 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.2%
This area
2.2%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 72.9%
Other/Mixed 16.6%
Hispanic/Latino 14.0%
Black/African American 6.1%
Asian 4.3%
👶 Under 18
21.5%
This area
21.5%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
21.6%
This area
21.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
1.4%
This area
1.4%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95938

B Avg School Grade
3 Schools
18.8:1 Avg Class Size
$16,482 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Durham High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
308 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$16,482 Per Student
B Good

Durham Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
494 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$16,482 Per Student
B Good

Durham Intermediate

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
224 Students
👨‍🏫
18.5:1 Class Size
💰
$16,482 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

4 Nearby 8,574 Off-Campus Students
C+
Butte County Regional Occupational Program
41 students · 7.6 mi
C
Butte College
10,211 students · 8.7 mi
C+
California State University-Chico
14,523 students · 9.0 mi
D
Cal Northern School of Law
45 students · 11.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 8,574 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What real estate strategy is ideal for Durham, CA?

Durham, CA investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($615K prices, $1,467/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

What is the typical renter like in Durham, CA?

Durham, CA offers a steady renter base at the $1,467/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Durham, CA?

CA law tenant-protective for landlords, and Durham inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

Is Durham, CA a good place for real estate investing?

Yes - Durham, CA a 2.0/5 investability score. With $615K home prices against $1,467/mo monthly rent, the market delivers a reasonable entry point for new investors.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Durham, CA?

Average rent in Durham, CA is approximately $1,467/mo per month. Against $615K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

You know 95938 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95938 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 95938 ranks in Chico, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation →
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