Real Estate Investing in Modesto, California (95356)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Stanislaus County • Population: 33,025 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95356 (Modesto, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (61/100)

Mixed — home prices are stretched relative to local incomes. Run the math on your specific situation.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Modesto, CA (95356)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $524,010
Avg Monthly Rent $2,130
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $91,034
% Renters 32.7%

Market Analysis: 95356 Modesto

The 95356 ZIP in Modesto, CA is a local-operator market. Outside capital chasing a $524K entry has to pair deep knowledge with the discount.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 95356 reports the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

In the broader CA picture, 95356 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Meanwhile, 33,025 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategy in 95356 is an operator game, not a passive one. Stepping back, entry prices of $524K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Modesto:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 60/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.8× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.8%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,130/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Modesto, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Modesto, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95356

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
5.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+5.6% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$141,314/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $208,258 $1,530 5.3% +5.6% $208,258
2BR $344,185 $1,990 4.2% +5.5% $172,093
3BR $473,680 $2,760 4.2% +5.3% $157,893
4BR $610,906 $3,200 3.8% +5.6% $152,727
5BR $706,572 +5.5% $141,314

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$557K$475K$392K$309K$227K$144KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,345$2,280$2,214$2,149$2,083$2,018Jul 2022Jul 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95356 Compare?

Metric 95356 Modesto Modesto, CA California
Home Value $524,010 $288,024 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 2.4% 2.8% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,130 $2,019 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95356? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95356 (Modesto, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Stanislaus County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

summary from their website summary from their website

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Liberty Property Management offers services for Homeowners Associations, residential and commercial property management, and rental assistance in Stanislaus County and surrounding cities. summary from their website

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Valley Oak Property Management provides property management services in Modesto and Stanislaus County, including Ceres, Escalon, and Manteca. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.4%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Modesto, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
38%
Days Pending
0/2
38 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $524,010
Monthly Rent $2,130
Price-to-Rent 20.5:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.9%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 5.6%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.8% ▲
3-Year CAGR +1.9% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.4% ▲
10-Year CAGR +5.6% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -7.8% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.1% ▼
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
2.9%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.4%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95356

Population: 33,025

💰 Median Household Income
$91,034
This area
$91,034
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
32.7%
This area
32.7%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
27.6%
This area
27.6%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
39.7 years
This area
39.7 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
2.9%
This area
2.9%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 62.1%
Other/Mixed 26.8%
Hispanic/Latino 20.5%
Asian 8.8%
Black/African American 2.4%
👶 Under 18
24.0%
This area
24.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
16.0%
This area
16.0%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.1%
This area
6.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95356

C+ Avg School Grade
5 Schools
22.4:1 Avg Class Size
$15,754 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Mildred Perkins Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
379 Students
👨‍🏫
20.0:1 Class Size
💰
$19,659 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Stanislaus Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
292 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$16,032 Per Student
B Good

Agnes M. Baptist Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
636 Students
👨‍🏫
23.4:1 Class Size
💰
$16,032 Per Student
C Below Average

Great Valley Academy - Salida

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
880 Students
👨‍🏫
26.3:1 Class Size
💰
$11,291 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

Joseph A. Gregori High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,414 Students
👨‍🏫
24.5:1 Class Size
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 8,781 Off-Campus Students
C+
DeHart Technical School
80 students · 1.7 mi
C
Stellar Career College
50 students · 2.7 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto
305 students · 3.1 mi
D
North Adrian's College of Beauty Inc
213 students · 3.5 mi
D
San Joaquin Valley College-Modesto
590 students · 3.6 mi
D
Yosemite Community College District Office
0 students · 4.1 mi
C
Modesto Junior College
17,152 students · 4.8 mi
C+
California Beauty School
73 students · 5.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 8,781 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does Modesto, CA make sense for an investment property?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Modesto, CA reflects its $524K prices and $2,130/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within CA.

Is vacancy a concern in Modesto, CA?

Rental vacancy in Modesto, CA is elevated. Investors should budget normal turnover but not chronic empty units.

Where do rents currently stand in Modesto, CA?

Investors in Modesto, CA typically see rents near $2,130/mo per month against $524K home values - a solid setup for rental cash flow.

Is Modesto, CA good for house hacking?

House hacking in Modesto, CA is a challenging. With home values around $524K and rents at $2,130/mo, owner-occupants can offset a meaningful share of PITI.

Are tenants stable in Modesto, CA?

Working renters make up the core of the Modesto, CA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

You know 95356 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 95356 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 95356 ranks in Modesto, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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