Real Estate Investing in Modesto, California (95350)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Stanislaus County • Population: 55,984 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95350 (Modesto, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (54/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.

What’s happening in Modesto, CA (95350)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $428,691
Avg Monthly Rent $1,967
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $66,185
% Renters 46.6%

Market Analysis: 95350 Modesto

The 95350 ZIP covers a section of Modesto that demands careful diligence. Prices near $429K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

The investment case in 95350 is sturdy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $429K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

Within CA, ZIP 95350 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Stanislaus County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and durable enough to shape underwriting.

Demographically, 95350 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

Strategy in 95350 is an operator game, not a passive one. From an investor standpoint, entry prices of $429K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Modesto:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 56/100
Affordability
5/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
14/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 6.5× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+1.1%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,967/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
Modesto, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
9.0%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Modesto, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95350

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.1% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+8.7% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$112,645/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $300,702 $1,350 3.2% +8.7% $300,702
2BR $347,845 $1,750 3.6% +6.3% $173,923
3BR $422,966 $2,430 4.1% +5.9% $140,989
4BR $493,427 $2,810 4.1% +5.4% $123,357
5BR $563,223 +5.5% $112,645

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$460K$385K$311K$236K$162K$87KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,013$1,930$1,848$1,765$1,682$1,599Apr 2022Jun 2024Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95350 Compare?

Metric 95350 Modesto Modesto, CA California
Home Value $428,691 $288,024 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 2.9% 2.8% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $1,967 $2,019 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.6% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 95350? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 47% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95350 (Modesto, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Stanislaus County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

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Liberty Property Management offers services for Homeowners Associations, residential and commercial property management, and rental assistance in Stanislaus County and surrounding cities. summary from their website

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Valley Oak Property Management provides property management services in Modesto and Stanislaus County, including Ceres, Escalon, and Manteca. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.9%
Slow

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Modesto, CA metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
38%
Days Pending
0/2
38 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $428,691
Monthly Rent $1,967
Price-to-Rent 18.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.5%
Cap Rate 3.6%
5-Year IRR 6.5%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +1.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +2.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.7% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +6.1% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.5%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95350

Population: 55,984

💰 Median Household Income
$66,185
This area
$66,185
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
46.6%
This area
46.6%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
4.8%
This area
4.8%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
20.7%
This area
20.7%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
35.3 years
This area
35.3 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.5%
This area
4.5%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 64.1%
Other/Mixed 23.6%
Hispanic/Latino 17.1%
Asian 8.0%
Black/African American 4.2%
👶 Under 18
25.6%
This area
25.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
15.8%
This area
15.8%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
11.9%
This area
11.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95350

C+ Avg School Grade
18 Schools
21.2:1 Avg Class Size
$14,299 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

Josephine Chrysler Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
605 Students
👨‍🏫
21.3:1 Class Size
💰
$16,032 Per Student
B Good

Prescott Junior High

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
725 Students
👨‍🏫
19.0:1 Class Size
💰
$16,032 Per Student
B Good

Standiford Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
415 Students
👨‍🏫
19.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,400 Per Student
B Good

Somerset Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
👥
957 Students
👨‍🏫
21.1:1 Class Size
💰
$14,400 Per Student
B Good

George Eisenhut Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
514 Students
👨‍🏫
23.1:1 Class Size
💰
$16,032 Per Student
B Good

Mary Lou Dieterich Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
520 Students
👨‍🏫
23.3:1 Class Size
💰
$16,032 Per Student
B Good

Sherwood Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
496 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,400 Per Student
B Good

Woodrow Elementary

📚 K – 05 Elementary
👥
395 Students
👨‍🏫
23.4:1 Class Size
💰
$14,400 Per Student
C+ Average
👥
708 Students
👨‍🏫
17.6:1 Class Size
💰
$9,355 Per Student
C+ Average

Elihu Beard Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
440 Students
👨‍🏫
20.5:1 Class Size
C+ Average

John Fremont Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
620 Students
👨‍🏫
19.6:1 Class Size
C+ Average

William Garrison Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
313 Students
👨‍🏫
19.8:1 Class Size
C+ Average

Robert Elliott Alternative Education Center

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
596 Students
👨‍🏫
17.8:1 Class Size
C+ Average

Roosevelt Junior High

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
816 Students
👨‍🏫
21.9:1 Class Size
C+ Average

Catherine Everett Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
414 Students
👨‍🏫
22.3:1 Class Size
C+ Average

John Muir Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
555 Students
👨‍🏫
22.3:1 Class Size
C Below Average

Great Valley Academy

📚 K – 08 School Charter
👥
897 Students
👨‍🏫
24.2:1 Class Size
💰
$11,903 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

Grace M. Davis High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
2,022 Students
👨‍🏫
22.4:1 Class Size
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 8,781 Off-Campus Students
D
North Adrian's College of Beauty Inc
213 students · 0.9 mi
C
Paul Mitchell the School-Modesto
305 students · 1.1 mi
C
Modesto Junior College
17,152 students · 1.4 mi
D
Yosemite Community College District Office
0 students · 1.9 mi
C+
California Beauty School
73 students · 1.9 mi
C+
DeHart Technical School
80 students · 2.9 mi
C
Stellar Career College
50 students · 4.1 mi
D
San Joaquin Valley College-Modesto
590 students · 5.6 mi

Investor Insight: With 8,781 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are home prices like in Modesto, CA?

Typical homes in Modesto, CA go for around $429K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% stable price movement.

What is the typical vacancy rate in Modesto, CA?

Vacancy risk in Modesto, CA is elevated. That supports consistent cash flow for typical rental holds.

How strong is the working-renter base in Modesto, CA?

Working renters make up the core of the Modesto, CA tenant base. The pool is reasonable for investors targeting long-term holds.

What strategy should investors use in Modesto, CA?

For Modesto, CA, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

Does Modesto, CA make sense for an investment property?

Investors tracking Modesto, CA will find a 3.0/5 rating supported by $429K median home values and $1,967/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting measured returns.

You know 95350 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95350 ranks in Modesto, CA

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