Real Estate Investing in San Juan Bautista, California (95045)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

San Benito County • Population: 4,291 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 95045 (San Juan Bautista, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (41/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Flat appreciation: Values have barely moved over 5 years (0.8% CAGR).
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 26.7 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in San Juan Bautista, CA (95045)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $910,565
Avg Monthly Rent $2,844
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $104,456
% Renters 33.3%

Market Analysis: 95045 San Juan Bautista

This part of San Benito County is not an easy win. The 95045 ZIP posts softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

The investment case in 95045 is substantial only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $911K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

In the broader CA picture, 95045 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Demographically, 95045 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

The right play in 95045 usually involves deep tenant screening, aggressive delinquency response, and a conservative capex buffer. Anything less, and the discount can turn into a trap.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in San Juan Bautista:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 40/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
10/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 8.7× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,844/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
37 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.9%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 95045

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
3.8% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+5.3% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$259,336/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $651,982 $3,160 3.5% +5.0% $325,991
3BR $820,061 $4,290 3.8% +5.1% $273,354
4BR $1,037,343 $4,560 3.2% +5.3% $259,336

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.0M$877K$736K$596K$456K$315KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 95045 Compare?

Metric 95045 San Juan Bautista San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA California
Home Value $910,565 $910,565 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR 0.8% 0.8% N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,844 $2,844 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.4% 2.4% - -
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 95045 (San Juan Bautista, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
2.4%
Low
5yr Growth
+0.8%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $910,565
Monthly Rent $2,844
Price-to-Rent 26.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.8%
Cap Rate 2.4%
5-Year IRR 3.2%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.4% ▲
5-Year CAGR +0.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.4%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.4%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
4.8%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
+0.8%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 95045

Population: 4,291

💰 Median Household Income
$104,456
This area
$104,456
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
33.3%
This area
33.3%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.5%
This area
3.5%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
31.7%
This area
31.7%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
44.8 years
This area
44.8 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
4.8%
This area
4.8%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 68.1%
Other/Mixed 28.2%
Hispanic/Latino 20.0%
Asian 2.4%
Black/African American 1.3%
👶 Under 18
16.7%
This area
16.7%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
23.5%
This area
23.5%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 95045

B Avg School Grade
2 Schools
18.5:1 Avg Class Size
$16,442 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B Good

San Juan

📚 K – 08 School
👥
337 Students
👨‍🏫
18.4:1 Class Size
💰
$16,442 Per Student
B Good

Anzar High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
258 Students
👨‍🏫
18.5:1 Class Size
💰
$16,442 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

5 Nearby 3,575 Off-Campus Students
C
Gavilan College
5,484 students · 10.0 mi
C
CET-Salinas
187 students · 11.1 mi
C
Central Coast College
565 students · 11.2 mi
C
Waynes College of Beauty
46 students · 11.5 mi
C
Hartnell College
8,478 students · 13.4 mi

Investor Insight: With 3,575 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is San Juan Bautista, CA a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Investors tracking San Juan Bautista, CA will find a 2.0/5 rating supported by $911K median home values and $2,844/mo rents. That profile suits long-term holders targeting reliable returns.

What do rentals go for in San Juan Bautista, CA?

Rental rates in San Juan Bautista, CA average $2,844/mo. Tenant demand and $911K home values make the yield look reasonable by investor standards.

Should investors worry about vacancy in San Juan Bautista, CA?

San Juan Bautista, CA sees elevated vacancy, which is reasonable relative to the broader CA rental market.

Is San Juan Bautista, CA a friendly market for rental owners?

San Juan Bautista, CA falls under CA landlord-tenant law, which is tenant-protective. That backdrop makes day-to-day property management reasonable.

What is the best play in San Juan Bautista, CA?

For San Juan Bautista, CA, careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management is the standard investor playbook. The market structure makes it a reasonable default approach.

You know 95045 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 95045 ranks in San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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