Real Estate Investing in El Cerrito, California (94530)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Contra Costa County • Population: 26,229 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 94530 (El Cerrito, CA)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (31/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
WEAK
2.0 / 5 (33/100)

Structural challenges here. The numbers may look cheap but operational risk is high. Only for experienced, hands-on investors.

⚠️ Risks to Know
3 flags
  • Declining values: -0.4% 5-year CAGR — values have moved lower.
  • Tenant-protective state: Landlord rating 1.0/5 — slower evictions, more regulations.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 35.2 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in El Cerrito, CA (94530)?

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2.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

1.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $1,147,359
Avg Monthly Rent $2,717
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $119,761
% Renters 43.9%

Market Analysis: 94530 El Cerrito

This part of Contra Costa County is not an easy win. The 94530 ZIP stands at softness in key indicators, and the playbook that works in cleaner markets often stalls here.

Looking more closely, the numbers look inviting — $1.1M purchase price, 0.0% nominal cap — the work to hit that pro forma in 94530 is substantial and deserves full respect.

In the broader CA picture, 94530 is a reminder that not every low-priced ZIP is a value-add opportunity — some are simply distressed, and the difference matters.

Who lives in 94530 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Distressed ZIPs reward experience. healthy returns are possible in 94530, but they flow to investors who already understand how to operate in soft markets.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in El Cerrito:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 41/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
5/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
8/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 9.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,717/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
BALANCED
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
⚖️
BALANCED MARKET
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA Metro Area
Even conditions for buyers and sellers
38 days
Average time to sell
Average
7.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 94530

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
2.5% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+2.9% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
5BR
$311,056/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $710,024 $2,460 2.5% -1.7% $710,024
2BR $904,838 $3,010 2.4% +1.5% $452,419
3BR $1,124,951 $3,850 2.5% +2.2% $374,984
4BR $1,355,854 $4,560 2.4% +2.7% $338,963
5BR $1,555,279 +2.9% $311,056

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$1.3M$1.2M$1.1M$976K$862K$748KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,788$2,704$2,620$2,536$2,451$2,367Mar 2021Nov 2023Jul 2026

📊 How Does 94530 Compare?

Metric 94530 El Cerrito San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA California
Home Value $1,147,359 $1,147,359 N/A $761,003
5-Year CAGR N/A N/A N/A 5.7%
Avg Rent $2,717 $2,717 N/A -
Cap Rate 1.9% 1.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 94530? Click to expand

A healthy rental market with 44% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 94530 (El Cerrito, CA). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Contra Costa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Advantage Property Management Services offers Pleasanton property management, including marketing, tenant screening, rent collection, maintenance, accounting, and eviction. summary from their website

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Main Street Property Services is a full-service retail real estate company specializing in value-added leasing of shopping centers and downtown shopping districts. summary from their website

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Maisel Property Management Inc's homepage text is minimal, but the domain name strongly suggests property management services. summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Fair
Cap Rate
1.9%
Low
5yr Growth
-0.4%
Declining

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $1,147,359
Monthly Rent $2,717
Price-to-Rent 35.2:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 2.8%
Cap Rate 1.9%
5-Year IRR 1.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR -0.4% ▼
10-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -2.3% ▼
3-Year CAGR +0.8% ▲
5-Year CAGR +1.8% ▲
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 1.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (1.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
5.0%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
1.0/5
Protective
Value Trend (5yr)
-0.4%
Flat
Eviction process: Very Slow Rent control: Unfavorable

Demographics in 94530

Population: 26,229

💰 Median Household Income
$119,761
This area
$119,761
State
$94,164
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
43.9%
This area
43.9%
State
39.3%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.6%
This area
3.6%
State
-16.6%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
65.3%
This area
65.3%
State
7.7%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
41.6 years
This area
41.6 years
State
9.6 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
5.0%
This area
5.0%
State
15.3%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 48.5%
Asian 29.1%
Other/Mixed 17.3%
Hispanic/Latino 9.7%
Black/African American 5.1%
👶 Under 18
17.6%
This area
17.6%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
19.6%
This area
19.6%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
5.3%
This area
5.3%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 94530

B Avg School Grade
8 Schools
22.6:1 Avg Class Size
$19,461 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Fairmont Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
530 Students
👨‍🏫
22.8:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Fred T. Korematsu Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
👥
680 Students
👨‍🏫
22.7:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Harding Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
474 Students
👨‍🏫
23.7:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Invictus Academy of Richmond

📚 07 – 12 High School Charter
👥
389 Students
👨‍🏫
17.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,500 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Madera Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
👥
467 Students
👨‍🏫
23.4:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
B Good

Cameron

📚 Grade M Elementary Limited Data
💰
$20,722 Per Student
B Good

El Cerrito High

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
1,476 Students
👨‍🏫
22.4:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
C+ Average

Summit Public School K2

📚 07 – 12 High School Charter
👥
554 Students
👨‍🏫
26.2:1 Class Size
💰
$16,859 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

A Very Good

Mira Vista Elementary

📚 K – 08 School
📍 6397 Hazel Ave., Richmond
👥
474 Students
👨‍🏫
17.9:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
A Very Good

Betty Reid Soskin Middle

📚 06 – 08 Middle
📍 1121 Allview Ave., El Sobrante
👥
378 Students
👨‍🏫
18.7:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
A Very Good

Lovonya DeJean Middle

📚 07 – 08 Middle
📍 3400 Macdonald Ave., Richmond
👥
384 Students
👨‍🏫
20.3:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
A Very Good

Murphy Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
📍 4350 Valley View Rd., El Sobrante
👥
445 Students
👨‍🏫
20.2:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
A Very Good

Sheldon Elementary

📚 K – 06 School
📍 2601 May Rd., Richmond
👥
320 Students
👨‍🏫
21.6:1 Class Size
💰
$20,722 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 6,495 Off-Campus Students
C
Dominican School of Philosophy & Theology
66 students · 3.4 mi
D
Pacific School of Religion
128 students · 3.7 mi
C
Church Divinity School of the Pacific
54 students · 3.8 mi
D
Graduate Theological Union
178 students · 3.8 mi
C
California Jazz Conservatory
20 students · 3.8 mi
C
Berkeley City College
6,547 students · 3.9 mi
C
Contra Costa College
5,997 students · 3.9 mi
A
University of California-Berkeley
45,699 students · 4.0 mi

Investor Insight: With 6,495 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does house hacking look like in El Cerrito, CA?

House hacking in El Cerrito, CA is reasonable to execute. Prices around $1.1M and rents of $2,717/mo solid owner-occupant economics.

Is CA a landlord-friendly state?

CA law tenant-protective for landlords, and El Cerrito inherits those rules. Investors should still review local ordinances for rental licensing.

How much does a house cost in El Cerrito, CA?

Median home price in El Cerrito, CA is near $1.1M, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been stable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

Where do rents currently stand in El Cerrito, CA?

Rent in El Cerrito, CA is around $2,717/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $1.1M pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

Is El Cerrito, CA a good place for real estate investing?

With a 2.0/5 investability score, El Cerrito, CA ranks as a solid market for rental property investors. Median prices of $1.1M and rents of $2,717/mo drive the underlying numbers.

You know 94530 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 94530 ranks in San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA

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