Real Estate Investing in Flagstaff, Arizona (86005)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Coconino County • Population: 17,165 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 86005 (Flagstaff, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (36/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 23.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.7 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

What’s happening in Flagstaff, AZ (86005)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

3.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $733,566
Avg Monthly Rent $2,379
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $73,086
% Renters 41.9%

Market Analysis: 86005 Flagstaff

Not every below-median market is a bargain. Flagstaff's 86005 ZIP registers signals that favor experienced operators who can absorb the risk $734K pricing implies.

The 86005 ZIP can work — but only with a tight operating hand. Remote landlords and passive investors tend to struggle here more than the underwriting suggests.

Regionally, 86005 sits on the difficult end of the AZ spectrum. The a viable market for read — for disciplined operators — is that pricing reflects the difficulty.

Who lives in 86005 is part of why the ZIP is priced as it is. The demographic profile requires hands-on management, tight screening, and local knowledge.

Strategy in 86005 is an operator game, not a passive one. Stepping back, entry prices of $734K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Flagstaff:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
22/25
Stability
11/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 10× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.4%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $2,379/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Flagstaff, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
70 days
Average time to sell
Slow
9.4%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Flagstaff, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 86005

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
2BR
3.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
5BR
+13.0% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
2BR
$210,088/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
2BR $420,177 $1,940 3.3% +9.0% $210,088
3BR $689,600 $2,370 2.5% +10.5% $229,867
4BR $953,648 $2,590 2.0% +10.8% $238,412
5BR $1,327,869 +13.0% $265,574

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$778K$664K$550K$436K$322K$208KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$2,428$2,338$2,248$2,158$2,068$1,978Oct 2023Mar 2025Jul 2026

📊 How Does 86005 Compare?

Metric 86005 Flagstaff Flagstaff, AZ Arizona
Home Value $733,566 $290,116 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 5.5% 5.4% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $2,379 $2,250 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.5% 2.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 86005? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 42% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 86005 (Flagstaff, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.5%
Low
5yr Growth
+5.5%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Flagstaff, AZ metro

4/10
Moderate Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
2/3
65%
Days Pending
2/2
70 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $733,566
Monthly Rent $2,379
Price-to-Rent 25.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 3.9%
Cap Rate 2.5%
5-Year IRR 8.1%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.4% ▲
3-Year CAGR +2.3% ▲
5-Year CAGR +5.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +7.5% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year +2.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.5%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.5%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
23.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+5.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 86005

Population: 17,165

💰 Median Household Income
$73,086
This area
$73,086
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
41.9%
This area
41.9%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
3.8%
This area
3.8%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
61.4%
This area
61.4%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
34.2 years
This area
34.2 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
23.5%
This area
23.5%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 73.4%
Other/Mixed 20.0%
Hispanic/Latino 7.2%
Black/African American 4.0%
Asian 2.7%
👶 Under 18
23.9%
This area
23.9%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
13.9%
This area
13.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.0%
This area
4.0%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 86005

C+ Avg School Grade
3 Schools
15.7:1 Avg Class Size
$12,793 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Manuel DeMiguel Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 05 Elementary
👥
559 Students
👨‍🏫
15.7:1 Class Size
💰
$15,401 Per Student
C Below Average

CAVIAT - CCC Central Campus

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
👥
5 Students
C Below Average

Mountain School

📚 K – 06 School Charter Limited Data
👥
168 Students
💰
$10,184 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

3 Nearby 4,458 Off-Campus Students
D
Coconino Community College
2,696 students · 6.3 mi
C+
Northern Arizona University
28,186 students · 7.5 mi
B+
Indian Bible College
33 students · 9.5 mi

Investor Insight: With 4,458 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is housing expensive in Flagstaff, AZ?

Expect median prices around $734K in Flagstaff, AZ. The market has run at a 0.0% 5-year CAGR, so entry costs have been steady.

Is Flagstaff, AZ a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

Flagstaff, AZ rates 3.0/5 for investability. With median values at $734K and rents near $2,379/mo, the market offers reasonable fundamentals for rental investors.

Is it easy to find good tenants in Flagstaff, AZ?

Flagstaff, AZ offers a predictable renter base at the $2,379/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

How do landlord-tenant laws work in Flagstaff, AZ?

Landlord-friendliness in Flagstaff, AZ is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

Does house hacking make sense in Flagstaff, AZ?

For house hackers, Flagstaff, AZ is a challenging. The $2,379/mo rent on a unit helps defray the mortgage on a $734K property.

You know 86005 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 86005 ranks in Flagstaff, AZ

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