Real Estate Investing in Elfrida, Arizona (85638)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Cochise County • Population: 1,621 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85638 (Elfrida, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 31.8% of homes vacant — above national norms.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Elfrida, AZ (85638)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $240,132
Avg Monthly Rent $981
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $52,542
% Renters 26.3%

Market Analysis: 85638 Elfrida

ZIP 85638 inside Cochise County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $240K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

For an experienced owner, 85638 can be a an appealing option for hunting ground — but the discount at $240K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Within AZ, ZIP 85638 trails on several market indicators that neighboring Cochise County submarkets outperform. The gap is real and healthy enough to shape underwriting.

Demographically, 85638 is a market where tenant selection matters more than unit finishes. Operators who understand that tend to do fine; those who do not tend to learn why the ZIP trades at a discount.

leans the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Elfrida:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 52/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 4.6× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+4.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $981/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$255K$229K$202K$175K$149K$122KFeb 2016May 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85638 Compare?

Metric 85638 Elfrida Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Arizona
Home Value $240,132 $219,940 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.5% 1.3% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $981 $986 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.2% 3.5% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85638? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85638 (Elfrida, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.2%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.5%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $240,132
Monthly Rent $981
Price-to-Rent 20.4:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.9%
Cap Rate 3.2%
5-Year IRR 5.7%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +4.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.4% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.2%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.2%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
31.8%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85638

Population: 1,621

💰 Median Household Income
$52,542
This area
$52,542
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
26.3%
This area
26.3%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
0.8%
This area
0.8%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
17.0%
This area
17.0%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
60.0 years
This area
60.0 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
31.8%
This area
31.8%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 93.6%
Other/Mixed 6.0%
Hispanic/Latino 4.8%
Asian 0.4%
👶 Under 18
12.1%
This area
12.1%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
42.9%
This area
42.9%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
4.1%
This area
4.1%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85638

B Avg School Grade
3 Schools
15.9:1 Avg Class Size
$14,785 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Tombstone High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
453 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$14,785 Per Student
B Good

Walter J Meyer School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
174 Students
👨‍🏫
15.8:1 Class Size
💰
$14,785 Per Student
C Below Average

CTD - Tombstone High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 1,720 Off-Campus Students
C+
Cochise County Community College District
3,782 students · 13.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,720 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How should investors approach Elfrida, AZ?

In Elfrida, AZ the robust play is typically careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The combination of $240K prices and $981/mo rents suits that approach.

What are rental rates like in Elfrida, AZ?

Average rent in Elfrida, AZ is approximately $981/mo per month. Against $240K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Elfrida, AZ?

Occupancy in Elfrida, AZ runs reliable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $981/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Are homes affordable in Elfrida, AZ?

Elfrida, AZ home values average about $240K. That price point suits investors targeting rentals with $981/mo in monthly income.

What is the renter demographic in Elfrida, AZ?

Elfrida, AZ offers a consistent renter base at the $981/mo rent level. Tenant turnover is reasonable for well-managed properties.

You know 85638 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 85638 ranks in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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