Real Estate Investing in Hereford, Arizona (85615)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Cochise County • Population: 9,713 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85615 (Hereford, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
MIXED
Grade C (61/100)

Mixed signals — some positives, some negatives. Worth considering but not a slam-dunk.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
CLEAN

No major risk flags on the data we track.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Hereford, AZ (85615)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $395,591
Avg Monthly Rent $1,458
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $79,583
% Renters 8.0%

Market Analysis: 85615 Hereford

ZIP 85615 inside Cochise County looks affordable on the surface — median value of $396K — but the discount exists for reasons that a careful buyer should understand before committing.

The investment case in 85615 is sturdy only for operators who understand what they are buying. A $396K median suggests accessibility, but management intensity, vacancy drift, and capex surprises are real.

The gap between 85615 and stronger Hereford ZIPs is not closing quickly. Investors should weight long-horizon assumptions accordingly.

A notable renter share of 8% in 85615 is not, on its own, a problem — but paired with below-average income and high mobility, it changes the operating playbook.

The 85615 ZIP fits a narrow investor profile — hands-on, patient, and willing to accept that the cap rate on paper is not the cap rate in reality.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Hereford:

C Below Average
Buy Confidence Score: 58/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
9/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Moderate
Homes cost 5× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.2%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,458/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
7.2%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85615

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
3BR
4.4% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
4BR
+8.2% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$119,272/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
3BR $371,121 $2,250 4.4% +7.9% $123,707
4BR $477,089 $2,720 4.1% +8.2% $119,272

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$410K$368K$326K$284K$242K$200KMar 2008May 2017Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85615 Compare?

Metric 85615 Hereford Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ Arizona
Home Value $395,591 $395,591 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 3.9% 3.9% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,458 $1,458 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.9% 2.9% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85615? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85615 (Hereford, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.9%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.9%
Moderate

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $395,591
Monthly Rent $1,458
Price-to-Rent 22.6:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.4%
Cap Rate 2.9%
5-Year IRR 6.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.2% ▲
3-Year CAGR +3.2% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.9% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.0% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.9%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.9%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
3.4%
Low risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.9%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85615

Population: 9,713

💰 Median Household Income
$79,583
This area
$79,583
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
8.0%
This area
8.0%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
35.6%
This area
35.6%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
50.0 years
This area
50.0 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
3.4%
This area
3.4%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 88.0%
Other/Mixed 10.7%
Hispanic/Latino 6.6%
Asian 0.9%
Black/African American 0.4%
👶 Under 18
19.8%
This area
19.8%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
27.1%
This area
27.1%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
3.2%
This area
3.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85615

C+ Avg School Grade
2 Schools
30.5:1 Avg Class Size
$15,026 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Palominas Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
375 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,026 Per Student
D Needs Improvement

Valley View Elementary School

📚 Grade PK Elementary
👥
45 Students
👨‍🏫
45.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,026 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

1 Nearby 1,720 Off-Campus Students
C+
Cochise County Community College District
3,782 students · 11.8 mi

Investor Insight: With 1,720 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

How strong is Hereford, AZ for real estate investors?

Our data puts Hereford, AZ at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $396K and rents around $1,458/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

How do home values compare in Hereford, AZ?

The median home value in Hereford, AZ is roughly $396K. That puts it reasonable relative to the AZ statewide average.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Hereford, AZ?

Expect elevated vacancy in Hereford, AZ. Rents at $1,458/mo are absorbed by the tenant base without meaningful lag.

What approach is best for Hereford, AZ real estate?

Hereford, AZ investors pursuing careful cash-flow rentals with hands-on management. The underlying economics ($396K prices, $1,458/mo rents) make it a reasonable choice.

How strong are rents in Hereford, AZ?

Rent in Hereford, AZ is around $1,458/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $396K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

You know 85615 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 85615 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 85615 ranks in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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