Real Estate Investing in Patagonia, Arizona (85624)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Santa Cruz County • Population: 1,342 • Data updated: September 2026

☆ Watch this market Free account

Should you buy in 85624 (Patagonia, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
WEAK FIT
Grade F (29/100)

Multiple negative signals. Better options likely exist nearby.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
2 flags
  • High vacancy: 32.0% of homes vacant — above national norms.
  • High price-to-rent: Price-to-rent ratio 25.3 — hard to cash-flow at these prices.

• Modeled rent — no observed market rent for this ZIP; the figure is estimated from HUD fair-market rent.

What’s happening in Patagonia, AZ (85624)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $404,059
Avg Monthly Rent $1,332
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $42,895
% Renters 42.3%

Market Analysis: 85624 Patagonia

The 85624 ZIP covers a section of Patagonia that demands careful diligence. Prices near $404K look accessible, but the work to make a deal cash flow is real.

Distressed markets are won on execution, not on spreadsheets. ZIP 85624 stands at the profile where tenant screening, deferred maintenance, and local relationships determine the outcome.

ZIP 85624's metrics run below Santa Cruz County's averages on price growth and tenant stability. Investors who ignore that regional gap tend to relearn it the hard way.

Looking more closely, 1,342 residents fill the ZIP, renter turnover runs higher than neighboring postal codes and delinquency risk is a real line item rather than a theoretical one.

Strategy in 85624 is an operator game, not a passive one. Meanwhile, entry prices of $404K are inviting, the management lift is real and non-optional.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Patagonia:

D Needs Caution
Buy Confidence Score: 46/100
Affordability
0/25
Appreciation
18/25
Stability
7/20
Timing
6/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 9.4× the median income
Value Trend
Rising (+3.6%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,332/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
WARM
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
Bottom Line: This market may be challenging for buyers. Consider your timing and budget carefully.
☀️
WARM MARKET
Nogales, AZ Metro Area
Seller-favorable conditions, steady activity
0 days
Average time to sell
Very Fast
4.5%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Nogales, AZ metro data

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$427K$374K$321K$269K$216K$163KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85624 Compare?

Metric 85624 Patagonia Nogales, AZ Arizona
Home Value $404,059 $404,059 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 3.8% 3.8% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,332 $1,332 N/A -
Cap Rate 2.6% 2.6% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85624? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 42% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85624 (Patagonia, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Investability
Good
Cap Rate
2.6%
Low
5yr Growth
+3.8%
Moderate

📉 Market Crash Risk Index

Based on Nogales, AZ metro

0/10
Low Risk
Price YoY
0/3
N/A
Rent YoY
0/2
N/A
Below List
0/3
0%
Days Pending
0/2
0 days

View all metro crash risk rankings →

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $404,059
Monthly Rent $1,332
Price-to-Rent 25.3:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 4.0%
Cap Rate 2.6%
5-Year IRR 6.4%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +3.6% ▲
3-Year CAGR +0.7% ▲
5-Year CAGR +3.8% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.2% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year N/A
3-Year CAGR N/A
5-Year CAGR N/A
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 2.6%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (2.6%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
32.0%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+3.8%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85624

Population: 1,342

💰 Median Household Income
$42,895
This area
$42,895
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
42.3%
This area
42.3%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.3%
This area
2.3%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
44.4%
This area
44.4%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
58.8 years
This area
58.8 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
32.0%
This area
32.0%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 84.8%
Other/Mixed 14.0%
Hispanic/Latino 13.3%
Black/African American 1.1%
Asian 0.1%
👶 Under 18
15.0%
This area
15.0%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
42.3%
This area
42.3%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.9%
This area
6.9%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85624

B Avg School Grade
4 Schools
10.7:1 Avg Class Size
$20,743 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

A Very Good

Patagonia Union High School

📚 09 – 12 High School
👥
80 Students
👨‍🏫
9.5:1 Class Size
💰
$27,838 Per Student
A Very Good

Patagonia Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
👥
114 Students
👨‍🏫
12.0:1 Class Size
💰
$15,429 Per Student
C+ Average

Patagonia Montessori School

📚 K – 08 School Charter Limited Data
👥
26 Students
💰
$18,962 Per Student
C Below Average

CTD - Patagonia High School

📚 09 – 12 High School Limited Data
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Patagonia, AZ a good market for buy-and-hold investors?

The 3.0/5 investability rating in Patagonia, AZ reflects its $404K prices and $1,332/mo rents. Investors generally consider it a solid option within AZ.

What do rentals go for in Patagonia, AZ?

Rent in Patagonia, AZ is around $1,332/mo. The resulting rent-to-value relationship with $404K pricing is reasonable for most investor models.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Patagonia, AZ?

Vacancy risk in Patagonia, AZ is elevated. That supports consistent cash flow for typical rental holds.

Is Patagonia, AZ good for landlords?

Landlord-friendliness in Patagonia, AZ is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Patagonia, AZ?

Median home price in Patagonia, AZ is near $404K, with a 5-year CAGR of 0.0%. Prices have been stable and supportive of buy-and-hold strategies.

You know 85624 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

This page stays free — all of it. What one page can’t tell you is how 85624 compares to every other market. Investor ($19/mo) screens every U.S. ZIP by cap rate, the 1% rule, vacancy and landlord climate, and exports your shortlist.

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How 85624 ranks in Nogales, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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