Real Estate Investing in Mesa, Arizona (85206)

Everything the listing leaves out — vacancy, rent trend, cap rate, landlord climate. All free.

Maricopa County • Population: 36,896 • Data updated: September 2026

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Should you buy in 85206 (Mesa, AZ)? Our answer, based on the numbers below.

🏠 For Homebuyers
CAUTION
Grade D (45/100)

Proceed carefully. Weak appreciation or affordability makes this a harder case for most buyers.

📈 For Investors
MIXED
3.0 / 5 (47/100)

A middle-of-the-road market. Workable, but the best opportunities may be nearby ZIPs rather than this one.

⚠️ Risks to Know
1 flag
  • High vacancy: 16.5% of homes vacant — above national norms.

What’s happening in Mesa, AZ (85206)?

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3.0/ 5

Investability

Overall investment appeal

2.0/ 5

Appreciation

Long-term value growth

3.0/ 5

Cashflow ROI

Rental yield potential

Avg Home Value $383,891
Avg Monthly Rent $1,624
1% Rule ✗ Does Not Meet
Median Income $64,665
% Renters 37.3%

Market Analysis: 85206 Mesa

ZIP 85206 in Mesa, AZ carries a notable set of headwinds. Home values near $384K and rents of $1,624/mo sit inside a market where underwriting has to be tight.

For an experienced owner, 85206 can be a an appealing option for hunting ground — but the discount at $384K reflects genuine risk that outside investors often underestimate.

Statewide comparisons place 85206 among AZ's softer markets. That context does not make the ZIP uninvestable, but it does raise the bar for due diligence.

The 85206 ZIP's population of 36,896 has faced economic pressure over the last decade. That pressure shows up in rent delinquency patterns that posts the need for careful underwriting.

looks to the ZIP is not uninvestable, but it is unforgiving. Section 8 landlords, local operators, and specialized value-add funds are the investor types that tend to succeed.

Explore the Data — Click a Tab Below
🏦 Current 30-yr Fixed Mortgage Rate: 6.76% as of Sep 10 Source: Freddie Mac PMMS

Here's what matters if you're considering buying a home in Mesa:

C+ Average
Buy Confidence Score: 62/100
Affordability
10/25
Appreciation
14/25
Stability
13/20
Timing
10/15
Rental backup
15/15
Affordability
Expensive
Homes cost 5.9× the median income
Value Trend
Stable (+0.3%)
How home values changed in the past year
Rental Backup
Strong
Could rent for $1,624/mo if you need to move
Market Conditions
COOL
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
Bottom Line: Mixed signals in this market. Research specific properties carefully and be prepared to negotiate.
❄️
COOL MARKET
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Metro Area
More inventory, negotiating room for buyers
64 days
Average time to sell
Slow
11.6%
Listings with price cuts
Few Cuts
0.0%
Sale price vs asking
Below Ask
0.0%
Income needed for mortgage
Affordable
📅 Market conditions as of August 29, 2026 — updated weekly from Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro data
🏠

Property Strategy for 85206

Which property type performs best in this market?

Best for Cash Flow
1BR
6.3% cap rate
Best for Appreciation
1BR
+8.5% 5yr CAGR
Best Overall Value
4BR
$120,109/bedroom
📊 Compare All Property Types →
Type Median Value Est. Rent Cap Rate 5yr CAGR $/Bedroom
1BR $196,966 $1,710 6.3% +8.5% $196,966
2BR $331,292 $1,990 4.3% +6.3% $165,646
3BR $408,031 $2,650 4.7% +6.7% $136,010
4BR $480,436 $2,940 4.4% +7.0% $120,109
5BR $655,356 +7.4% $131,071

Market Trends

Home Value History (with trend line)

$440K$373K$306K$239K$171K$104KJul 2006Jul 2016Jul 2026

Rent History (with trend line)

$1,911$1,703$1,494$1,285$1,077$868Jun 2016Jul 2021Jul 2026

📊 How Does 85206 Compare?

Metric 85206 Mesa Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ Arizona
Home Value $383,891 $441,915 N/A $419,643
5-Year CAGR 2.5% 2.6% N/A 6.5%
Avg Rent $1,624 $1,726 N/A -
Cap Rate 3.3% 3.1% - -
💡 Why Invest in 85206? Click to expand

With a 3/5 investability rating, this ZIP shows solid fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

A healthy rental market with 37% renter-occupied households ensures tenant availability.

📊 See where this ZIP ranks in our Best-of lists →
A great house in the wrong ZIP is still a bad deal — screen every market by cash flow & cap rate.
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Landlord Ground Truth

Real numbers from people who own or manage rentals in ZIP 85206 (Mesa, AZ). Anonymous, moderated, never written by AI.

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Property managers serving Maricopa County

Manage rentals here? List your business →

Active Renter Property Management offers rental property management services in Phoenix, Arizona, including a 6-month tenant guarantee. summary from their website

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Arête Realty and Property Management, LLC offers property management services and real estate expertise in Glendale, Avondale, Chandler, Mesa, Gilbert, Sun City, Paradise Valley, Scottsdale, and Peori summary from their website

Unclaimed — is this your business? Claim it free

Arizona Community Management Services offers a comprehensive suite of services for Association leaders, including board training, financial management, and covenants enforcement, with decades of exper summary from their website

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Listings are shown for convenience — Repit doesn’t endorse or vet these companies. Ratings shown come only from email-verified visitors.

Investability
Good
Cap Rate
3.3%
Low
5yr Growth
+2.5%
Slow

📊 Market Snapshot

Home Value $383,891
Monthly Rent $1,624
Price-to-Rent 19.7:1
1% Rule ✗ Fails

💰 Return Metrics

Gross Yield 5.1%
Cap Rate 3.3%
5-Year IRR 5.8%

📈 Home Appreciation

1-Year +0.3% ▲
3-Year CAGR -0.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR +2.5% ▲
10-Year CAGR +6.8% ▲

🏠 Rent Trends

1-Year -9.0% ▼
3-Year CAGR -1.3% ▼
5-Year CAGR -0.5% ▼
Negative Leverage — IRR / Tax Play Cap Rate: 3.3%  |  30yr Rate: 6.8%
Leverage reduces cash returns at current rates.

The current 30-yr mortgage rate (6.8%) exceeds the estimated cap rate (3.3%). Financing reduces your cash-on-cash return below the cap rate. Markets like this may still make sense as IRR plays — factoring in appreciation, depreciation, and a future refinance when rates drop.

Run an IRR Analysis →

⚠️ Risk Signals

Composite view of factors that can impact a ZIP's stability and your downside risk.

Vacancy
16.5%
Elevated risk
Landlord Climate
5.0/5
Friendly
Value Trend (5yr)
+2.5%
Stable
Eviction process: Fast Rent control: Favorable

Demographics in 85206

Population: 36,896

💰 Median Household Income
$64,665
This area
$64,665
State
$66,355
USA
$74,580
🏠 Renter Occupied
37.3%
This area
37.3%
State
28.6%
USA
34.0%
💼 Unemployment Rate
2.8%
This area
2.8%
State
-23.2%
USA
3.7%
🎓 College Educated
30.5%
This area
30.5%
State
-1.0%
USA
33.7%
👤 Median Age
46.3 years
This area
46.3 years
State
11.1 years
USA
38.9 years
🏚️ Vacancy Rate
16.5%
This area
16.5%
State
19.2%
USA
10.5%
👥 Population by Ethnicity
White 78.4%
Other/Mixed 16.3%
Hispanic/Latino 11.1%
Black/African American 4.0%
Asian 1.2%
👶 Under 18
17.2%
This area
17.2%
USA
22.0%
👴 65 and Over
30.4%
This area
30.4%
USA
17.3%
📊 Poverty Rate
6.2%
This area
6.2%
USA
11.5%

Crime & Safety

🚧

Crime & Safety Data Coming Soon

We're integrating comprehensive crime statistics including violent crime rates, property crime, and safety scores to help you make informed investment decisions.

Expected: Q1 2025

🎓 Schools in 85206

B Avg School Grade
5 Schools
18.0:1 Avg Class Size
$13,766 Avg Per Pupil

Schools in This ZIP Code

B+ Above Average

Johnson Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
618 Students
👨‍🏫
14.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Madison Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
378 Students
👨‍🏫
13.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
B Good

Wilson Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
👥
473 Students
👨‍🏫
16.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
C+ Average
👥
857 Students
👨‍🏫
22.0:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
C+ Average

Franklin Junior High School

📚 07 – 09 High School
👥
282 Students
👨‍🏫
24.3:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student

Nearby Schools (5 more)

Schools in adjacent ZIP codes that may serve this area

B+ Above Average

Bush Elementary

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 4925 E INGRAM ST, MESA
👥
502 Students
👨‍🏫
14.8:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Mendoza Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 5831 E MCLELLAN RD, MESA
👥
439 Students
👨‍🏫
13.7:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
B+ Above Average

Pioneer Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 08 School
📍 1535 N GREENFIELD RD, GILBERT
👥
359 Students
👨‍🏫
10.5:1 Class Size
💰
$10,931 Per Student
B Good

Entz Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 4132 E ADOBE ST, MESA
👥
592 Students
👨‍🏫
17.2:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
B Good

O'Connor Elementary School

📚 Pre-K – 06 School
📍 4840 E ADOBE ST, MESA
👥
418 Students
👨‍🏫
15.5:1 Class Size
💰
$13,766 Per Student
About Repit School Scores

Traditional school ratings rely heavily on standardized test scores, which often reflect family income more than school quality. Repit takes a different approach.

We evaluate schools based on factors that research shows actually impact educational outcomes:

  • Class Size — Smaller classes mean more individual attention
  • School Funding — Resources available for programs, staff, and facilities
  • Community Factors — Neighborhood characteristics that influence student success
  • School Environment — Size, type, and structure

Scores are updated annually using federal education data.

🎓 Nearby Colleges & Universities

8 Nearby 9,864 Off-Campus Students
C
Pima Medical Institute-East Valley
373 students · 2.2 mi
C
Arizona School of Integrative Studies
161 students · 7.0 mi
C
Carrington College-Mesa
492 students · 7.8 mi
D
Avalon Institute-Mesa
388 students · 8.2 mi
D
UEI College-Mesa
565 students · 8.4 mi
C
Chandler-Gilbert Community College
14,725 students · 8.4 mi
C
East Valley Institute of Technology
522 students · 8.5 mi
C
Mesa Community College
16,624 students · 8.9 mi

Investor Insight: With 9,864 students living off-campus nearby, this area has strong rental demand from the college population.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Mesa in AZ worth investing in?

Our data puts Mesa, AZ at 3.0/5 for investability. Home prices of $384K and rents around $1,624/mo create a solid backdrop for investor activity.

How much should I expect to pay for a home in Mesa, AZ?

Typical homes in Mesa, AZ go for around $384K. The 5-year CAGR of 0.0% consistent price movement.

What is the rental occupancy rate in Mesa, AZ?

Occupancy in Mesa, AZ runs predictable with elevated vacancy. Well-priced units at $1,624/mo lease on reasonable timelines.

Is AZ a landlord-friendly state?

Landlord-friendliness in Mesa, AZ is landlord-friendly. Eviction timelines and lease enforcement are considered reasonable by most property managers.

What monthly rent should investors expect in Mesa, AZ?

Average rent in Mesa, AZ is approximately $1,624/mo per month. Against $384K home values that yields a reasonable rent-to-price ratio.

You know 85206 now. You don’t know where it ranks.

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How 85206 ranks in Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

Every ZIP in this metro, ranked. Free.

Cash Flow → Appreciation → Affordable →
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